394
FXUS63 KGID 231756
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1256 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER NIGHTS AHEAD, NEXT CHANCE FOR FROST/FREEZE NOT UNTIL
OCT 29-30.
- SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REACH OUR KANSAS COUNTIES
LATE TONIGHT, WITH VERY LIMITED COVERAGE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTH INTO NEBRASKA. THE BIGGEST IMPACT FROM THIS SYSTEMS
LOOKS TO BE SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER AND COOLER HIGH
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY-SUNDAY.
- AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOT FOR SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE FORECAST
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN ADDITION...COULD SEE A COUPLE
BREEZY/WINDY DAYS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 356 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2025
ANOTHER NIGHT OF CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS HAS BEEN OBSERVED
ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA. ONCE AGAIN, THIS HAS LED TO
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20 TO MID 30S ACROSS THE
AREA, WITH THE CURRENT FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES REMAINING IN
EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT. THESE WILL BE THE LAST FROST HEADLINES
OF THE SEASON, ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE LACK OF A WIDESPREAD HARD
FREEZE, WE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FREEZE HEADLINES FOR THE
MAJORITY OF OUR AREA, AS NEEDED, THROUGH THE 1ST OF NOVEMBER.
ONCE THE SUN COMES UP LATER THIS MORNING, EXPECT A RAPID RISE IN
TEMPERATURES WITH ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL FALL AFTERNOON ANTICIPATED
ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE IT WILL REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS, EXPECT INCREASING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AS THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST GRADUALLY MAKES
ITS WAY EAST TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS TO PARTS
OF THE AREA BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT
SHOWERS CONTINUING OFF AND ON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN
THE SOUTHERN TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM, THE FOCUS WILL BE ACROSS OUR
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS COUNTIES...WITH LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION
ANTICIPATED FURTHER NORTH.
WHILE PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM, MODEL TIME
HEIGHTS AND RH PROJECTIONS INDICATE SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER WILL
ADVECT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. AS A RESULT, CLOUDY SKIES AND
SEASONABLY COOL HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY LINGER ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.
THEREAFTER...THE FOCUS SHIFTS TO THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT WILL IMPACT THE AREA
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SHOULD BRING A MORE WIDESPREAD CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA MONDAY/TUESDAY, ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS WILL
LIKELY BE LESS THAN 0.5". BEHIND THE FRONT, SEVERAL BREEZY/WINDY
DAYS ARE IN THE FORECAST BEFORE WINDS DROP OFF BY MID-WEEK,
WHICH AGAIN WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER TO
MID-30S ACROSS THE AREA NEXT THURSDAY MORNING.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT WITH
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT. HOWEVER, A LOW CLOUD DECK IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS ON FRIDAY AND MOVE NORTH INTO
OUR TAF SITES BY MID TO LATE MORNING. EXPECT AT LEAST MVFR
CEILINGS FRIDAY MORNING AND CAN NOT RULE OUT A PERIOD OF IFR
CEILINGS WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR IFR CEILINGS JUST BEYOND
THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. WE
COULD EVEN SEE LIFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE
WIND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT (<15 KTS) AND OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE TAF VALID PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...WESELY
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