346
FXUS63 KGID 131208
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
608 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SOME SLICK SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY DUE TO THE COMBINATION
OF PERIODIC VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE/MIST AND
FLURRIES/LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. OVERALL ACCUMULATION OF EITHER
ICE OR SNOW WILL BE VERY LIMITED.
- EVEN COLDER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. WIND CHILLS
ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE/BELOW ZERO
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
- THE COLD AIR WILL BE SHORT-LIVED, THOUGH, AS MOST OR ALL OF
NEXT WEEK IS FORECAST TO HAVE ABOVE TO WELL-ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES. PROSPECTS FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION REMAIN
VERY LOW THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 450 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN TODAY WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
AREAS OF PERIODIC FREEZING MIST/DRIZZLE AND FLURRIES OR LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO CAUSE SOME SLICK SPOTS ON AREA ROADWAYS AND
SIDEWALKS. LATEST OBSERVATIONS SHOW MANY AREAS, PARTICULARLY
ALONG AND W OF HWY 281, WITH SOME SORT OF MINOR TO MODEST
VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS. GIVEN OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS NOTED HERE AT
THE OFFICE N OF HASTINGS, IT'S LIKELY THAT ANYWHERE WHERE
THERE'S VISIBILITIES NEAR/BELOW 5 MILES IS SEEING AT LEAST SOME
LEVEL OF FREEZING MIST. SLIGHTLY HEAVIER FREEZING DRIZZLE
APPEARS TO BE MOST FOCUSED WHERE VISIBILITIES ARE A BIT LOWER IN
THE 2-3 MILE RANGE, GENERALLY ALONG/W OF HWY 183. STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY ON THE OVERALL IMPACTS FROM THIS ACTIVITY AS WE
DON'T QUITE HAVE ALL OF THE INGREDIENTS FOR A MORE PROLIFIC
FREEZING DRIZZLE EVENT - NAMELY THE DEPTH OF THE MOISTURE IS A
BIT ON THE SHALLOW SIDE. HOWEVER, WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE THIS
COLD IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S, ANY SORT OF RAMPING UP ON THE
DRIZZLE INTENSITY CAN QUICKLY LEAD TO ESCALATION IN IMPACTS.
WILL BE KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON TRENDS AND WHETHER OR NOT A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED FOR SLICK ROADWAYS.
AS FAR AS SNOW POTENTIAL...THINK ANY SNOW THIS MORNING WILL BE
LIMITED TO FAR N/NE ZONES - CLOSER TO THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC BAND
OF MODERATE SNOWFALL - WHERE MOISTURE IS SLIGHTLY DEEPER AND
INTO FAVORED ICE CRYSTAL GROWTH TEMP RANGE. STILL EXPECT ANY
ACCUMULATIONS IN THESE AREAS TO BE A DUSTING TO HALF INCH, OR
LESS. THINK WE'LL ALSO GET A QUICK SHOT OF FLURRIES AND/OR LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE SOUTHWARD PLUNGING ARCTIC COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING - PARTICULARLY FOR AREAS FROM
AROUND THE TRI-CITES TO THE N AND NE. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY FORCE TEMPERATURES WITHIN
THE STRATUS LAYER DOWN TO FAVORED ICE CRYSTAL GROWTH TEMPS OF AT
LEAST -12C. TYPICALLY, THESE TYPES OF FRONTS AND COLD
TEMPERATURES ARE EFFICIENT AT SQUEEZING OUT WHAT LITTLE MOISTURE
THAT'S IN THE AIR INTO FLURRIES. BECAUSE OF THE FRONT AND
PLENTIFUL LOW CLOUD COVER, NEBRASKA ZONES WILL SEE ONLY STEADY,
OR EVEN FALLING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THIS EVENING AS A STRONG SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO NOSE IT'S WAY INTO THE REGION. THIS
WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES AND EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE/BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AM.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 314 PM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MONTANA TO THE EAST COAST. A
SURFACE HIGH EXTENDS SOUTHWARD INTO NEBRASKA AND KANSAS. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA RANGE FROM THE
LOW 20S TO THE LOW 40S. IT IS SNOWING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA
NORTH OF I-80 ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A COLD FRONT. THE SURFACE
HIGH WILL MOVE FURTHER EAST TONIGHT WITH WINDS ACROSS THE AREA
SWITCHING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE TEENS TO MID 20S. PRECIPITATION MAY
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT (LESS THAN 25% CHANCE) WITH THE BEST
CHANCES NORTH OF I-80. THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BE IN THE FORM
OF FREEZING DRIZZLE AND/OR SNOW. LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED; HOWEVER, ROADS AND PAVEMENT MAY BE SLICK IN SPOTS.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW/SNOW FLURRIES MAY CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-
CITIES AREA (15% TO AROUND 30% CHANCE). LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED; HOWEVER, SOME SLICK SPOTS ON PAVEMENT MAY STILL BE PRESENT
SATURDAY MORNING. A SURFACE HIGH WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
ON SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE TEENS
TO 30S WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE 20S DURING THE
AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT WILL PLUMMET INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS WITH WIND CHILLS VALUES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER EAST ON SUNDAY WITH THE SURFACE HIGH
CENTERED OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OUT OF
THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 20S TO
MID 30S WITH WIND CHILL VALUES ONLY GETTING UP INTO THE TEENS
AND 20S DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
BE IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S WITH SOUTHWEST TO WEST
WINDS.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A WARMING TREND MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES AWAY FROM NEBRASKA AND KANSAS. THE WARMEST
DAY IS EXPECTED TO BE WEDNESDAY WITH A SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE AREA
AND WINDS OUT OF A WESTERLY DIRECTION. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S AND ON WEDNESDAY THEY WILL
WARM UP TO THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE
AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING INTO THE 40S AND 50S
FOR THURSDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 555 AM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
TODAY: MODELS HAVE BEEN STRUGGLING WITH CEILINGS PAST 6 HOURS AS
THEY'VE GENERALLY BEEN RUNNING LOWER THAN EXPECTED. AS SUCH,
HAVE TRENDED THE LATEST TAFS TOWARDS MORE IFR CONDITIONS THIS
MORNING. STILL THINK WE'LL SEE IMPROVING CIGS THIS AFTN TO
PRIMARILY MVFR. UNTIL THEN, VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING, THEN A QUICK SHOT OF LIGHT SNOW ALONG A
COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE NE TO N THROUGHOUT THE
DAY, BECOMING A BIT BREEZY BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
TONIGHT: EXPECT CLEARING SKIES THIS EVENING AS A STRONG SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE NOSES IN FROM THE N. WINDS WILL ALSO DECREASE.
CONFIDENCE: HIGH.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...THIES
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...THIES
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