493
FXUS63 KGID 142338
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
538 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THERE IS ONLY A
LOW CHANCE (10-20%) FOR LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK, AND ARE
FAVORED TO CONTINUE INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK AS WELL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
CLOUD COVER NEAR AND WEST OF HWY 183 HAS BEEN VERY STUBBORN AND
ACTUALLY IS EXPANDING A BIT EASTWARD OVER THE PAST COUPLE HOURS.
AS SUCH, FORECAST TEMPERATURES FOR THIS AFTERNOON WERE TRENDED
DOWNWARD. ADDITIONALLY, BASED ON AUTOMATED OBSERVATIONS AND AREA
CAMERAS, SOME FLURRIES WERE ADDED TO WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
MONDAY IS STILL ON-TRACK TO BE MUCH WARMER THAN TODAY, AND THIS
WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY LIGHTER NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. FOR
COMPARISON, WIND CHILLS ARE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AS OF NOON
TODAY, BUT ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
BY MIDDAY MONDAY.
TUESDAY TRENDS EVEN WARMER AS RIDGING MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S, COMBINED WITH
FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS, WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE NICEST DAY OF THE
WEEK.
WEDNESDAY REMAINS WARM, BUT AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE/COLD FRONT
WILL RESULT IN BREEZIER SOUTH WINDS. WITH THE WIND AND WARMER-
THAN-NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE
FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR WEDNESDAY (AND ALSO ON THURSDAY). BUT
CURRENTLY, HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 20% FOR MOST OF
THE AREA. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) FOR PRECIPITATION
(LIGHT RAIN) AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
BEHIND A COLD FRONT, THURSDAY WILL BE COOLER...BUT NOT OVERLY
COLD. THE CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S AND
40S, WHICH IS STILL A FEW DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS
FOR MID DECEMBER.
BEYOND THAT, MODELS SHOW ANOTHER WARMUP LATE NEXT WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND. AND LONGER-RANGE ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO FAVOR ABOVE-
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS WELL. OVER THE NEXT 10
DAYS (DEC 16-25TH), THE EPS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL...A PRETTY STRONG SIGNAL WHEN TAKING A 10-DAY
AVERAGE. ADDITIONALLY, THE LREF (GEPS/GEFS/EPS) SHOWS JUST A 10%
CHANCE OF SEEING A TOTAL OF 0.10" QPF THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS.
IN SHORT, IF YOU REALLY WANT TO SEE A WHITE CHRISTMAS, YOU'LL
PROBABLY HAVE TO TRAVEL OUT OF NEBRASKA/KANSAS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 530 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY 02Z. LOW
CEILINGS MAY RETURN AROUND 11Z FOR KEAR AND 14Z FOR KGRI AND
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS; HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS
LOW ON THIS SO LEFT OUT FOR NOW. MARGINAL WIND SHEAR MAY
DEVELOP AROUND 03Z TO 08Z. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME BY 06Z AND TRANSITION
TOWARDS THE WEST BY 15Z THEN TO THE NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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