805
FXUS63 KGID 041136
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
536 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
- RAIN AND SNOW REMAIN POSSIBLE (30% OR LESS CHANCE) THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 311 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
LIGHT FOG IS CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THIS FOG IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS
WINDS INCREASE. TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S AND ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. WINDS WILL
TURN FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST THIS AFTERNOON WITH A
SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO
WARM UP INTO THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGHS
ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THE FORECAST HIGH FOR HASTINGS IS 60 DEGREES AND
THE RECORD HIGH FOR TODAY IS 61 DEGREES. WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE LIGHT
AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT GENERALLY EAST
OF HIGHWAY 281 IN NEBRASKA AND ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WITH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE PRESENT. PATCHY FOG WAS ADDED TO THE FORECAST FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA. THIS WILL DEPEND ON WIND DIRECTION AND CLOUD
COVER WHICH IS SUPPOSED TO INCREASE LATER IN THE NIGHT. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 50S AND 60S THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT RESULTS IN COOLER TEMPERATURES
BEGINNING THURSDAY. RAIN AND SNOW ARE STILL POSSIBLE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT BUT CHANCES REMAIN LOW (30% OR LESS).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 415 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR FOG TO
REDEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, AND CONTINUE INTO AT
LEAST EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS MORNING'S FOG/STRATUS AS
RETREATED INTO NE NEBRASKA AS OF THIS AFTERNOON, BUT LATEST HI-
RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS WILL EXPAND AFTER SUNSET - OWING TO
DIURNAL COOLING AND BACKING LOW LEVEL FLOW. THE WESTERLY WINDS
REALLY HELP SCOUR OUT THIS MOISTURE FOR US THIS AFTERNOON, SO
LOSING THAT COMPONENT, ALONG WITH MODEST MOISTURE ADVECTION
INHERENT TO RETURN TO SRLY FLOW, CONCEPTUALLY SHOULD FACILITATE
THIS EXPANSION. WE'LL SEE HOW FAR W/SW IT EXPANDS, BUT LATEST
TRENDS FAVOR AREAS ALONG AND ESP E OF HWY 281 AND N OF HWY 6 OR
THE STATE LINE TO BE MOST AT RISK FOR FOG. SIMILAR TO THIS
MORNING, SOME OF THIS FOG, ESP. ALONG THE FRINGES WHERE COOLING
IS GREATEST, COULD BE DENSE. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH
ENOUGH FOR AN ADVISORY AS INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS AND NEAR-SFC
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE FACTORS AGAINST WIDESPREAD *DENSE* FOG.
ONCE STRATUS/FOG ERODES SUNDAY AM (LIKELY A BIT QUICKER THAN
THIS MORNING), CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR VERY MILD, IF
NOT WARM, TEMPERATURES FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS - THANKS TO SWRLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW AND PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE OVER DRY (AND SEASONABLY
WARM) GROUND. HAVE BOOSTED TEMPERATURES A COUPLE DEG, ESP. W/SW
OF THE TRI-CITIES, AS THESE AREAS WILL BE OF LOWEST RISK FOR AM
STRATUS, AND MORNING LOWS WILL BE WARMEST (HIGH CLOUDS, STEADY
BREEZE). NOW HAVE HIGHS SOLIDLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ALONG
AND W OF HWY 183, AND CERTAINLY WOULDN'T RULE OUT SOME LOW 70S.
WILL BE AN EXCELLENT DAY TO TAKE DOWN THOSE OUTDOOR HOLIDAY
LIGHTS. SIDE NOTE - BOTH PRE AND POST HOLIDAY HAS BEEN AS
GENEROUS AS I CAN REMEMBER IN TERMS OF PLEASANT TEMPS FOR SET UP
AND TAKE DOWN OF OUTDOOR HOLIDAY LIGHTS/DECORATIONS.
MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AND MID WEEK
THANKS TO PERSISTENT MID AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE. THESE
DAYS DON'T LOOK TO BE QUITE AS WARM AS SUNDAY, BUT STILL QUITE
MILD IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN LATE NEXT WEEK, ALONG WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES, AS BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS SUGGEST A MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN THANKS TO LARGE- SCALE WESTERN U.S. UPPER
TROUGH TRACKING INTO THE CENTRAL STATES. ENSEMBLE MEANS SHOW
DECENT AGREEMENT ON THIS GENERALIZED TREND, BUT SPECIFICS - SUCH
AS POTENTIAL AMOUNTS/IMPACTS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND JUST
HOW MUCH COOLER WE BECOME - REMAIN VERY UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 527 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WIND
SHEAR IS POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND 15Z/16Z. WINDS WILL TRANSITION
FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS
UP TO AROUND 20 TO 25 KNOTS. WINDS WILL WEAKEN BY THIS EVENING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...SCHULDT
DISCUSSION...THIES
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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