862
FXUS63 KGID 152156
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
356 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HIGH WIND WARNING
AND IS NOW IN EFFECT STARTING AT 9 PM THIS EVENING.
- A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY FOR MOST AREAS
ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 183.
- SNOW SHOWERS MAY IMPACT (15% TO NEAR 60% CHANCE) PORTIONS OF
THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WITH
THE SNOW WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS.
- COLDER TEMPERATURES PLUS WINDS MAY CREATE WIND CHILLS AROUND 0
TO - 20 DEGREES FRIDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 354 PM CST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
AN UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE EAST COAST WITH ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. AN UPPER RIDGE IS OVER THE
WEST COAST. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WHICH IS IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER
TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THIS SURFACE TROUGH MARKS THE TRANSITION OF
WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES ARE
CURRENTLY IN THE 50S AND 60S. THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE NORTH WILL
MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
HIGH WIND WARNING AND IS NOW IN EFFECT BEGINNING AT 9 PM THIS
EVENING FOR MOST OF THE AREA ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 IN
NEBRASKA AND FOR ROOKS AND PHILLIPS COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 20S TO LOW
30S WITH WIND CHILLS DOWN TO NEAR 0 TO THE TEENS. AS UPPER LIFT
INCREASES OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT, LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS/LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP (15% TO 20% CHANCE)AND MOVE
SOUTHWARD. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF THE COUNTRY
ON FRIDAY WITH GUSTY, NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. SUSTAINED WINDS DURING
THE AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 60
MPH. A HIGH WIND WARNING WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN EFFECT FRIDAY FOR
MOST OF THE AREA ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 IN NEBRASKA AND FOR
ROOKS AND PHILLIPS COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THESE WINDS
WILL ALSO CREATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SEE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION
BELOW. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE (15% TO NEAR 60% CHANCE)
FRIDAY PRIMARILY AFFECTING LOCATIONS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-
CITIES. THESE SNOW SHOWERS COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS WILL
LIKELY (70%-80% CHANCE) CREATE SOME VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS. ALTHOUGH
MOST PLACES WILL SEE LITTLE (A TRACE) OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION, A FEW
ISOLATED AREAS MAY SEE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A HALF INCH. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 30S TO LOW 40S BUT
THE WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS TO 20S IN THE
AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO TEENS. WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL DECREASE FROM THE DAYTIME
BUT WILL BE AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS UP TO 30+ MPH.
THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS OF AROUND 0 DEGREES DOWN TO
NEAR -20 DEGREES FRIDAY NIGHT.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ON SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
ONLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S. WINDS WILL BE OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 30 MPH.
THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS NEAR 0 TO AROUND 10 DEGREES
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH LOWS NEAR ZERO TO NEAR 10 DEGREES. WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH WHICH WILL
RESULT IN WIND CHILLS OF AROUND 0 TO AROUND -10 DEGREES.
TEMPERATURES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO WARM UP ON SUNDAY ALTHOUGH
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE AMOUNT OF WARMING DUE TO ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA. RIGHT NOW THE FORECAST IS FOR HIGHS
TO BE IN THE 40S AND LOW 50S BUT IT MAY BE COLDER DEPENDING ON THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS OF AROUND -10 TO 5
DEGREES.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER MOST OF THE COUNTRY ON MONDAY WITH
A SURFACE HIGH ACROSS NEBRASKA AND KANSAS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 20S AND 30S WITH MOSTLY
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. A WARM UP IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE 40S AND 50S. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S. THE EXTENDED FORECAST
REMAINS TO BE DRY SO FAR.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST TO THE NORTHWEST BY 21Z. WINDS
WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 15
TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS. THERE WILL BE A
BRIEF DECREASE IN WINDS EARLY THIS EVENING THEN WINDS WILL
INCREASE AGAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND 02Z. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE BY 06Z TO AROUND 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30
KNOTS. A FURTHER INCREASE IN WINDS IS EXPECTED AROUND 15Z TO 18Z
TOMORROW WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 45 KNOTS. WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED
AT BOTH KGRI AND KEAR FROM AROUND 01Z TO 07Z.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 325 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON FROM DAWSON COUNTY SOUTHWARD TOWARDS ROOKS COUNTY. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 20% TO 25% WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 35 MPH.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM AROUND
25% TO 30% ACROSS THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 60 MPH.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR DAWSON COUNTY
SOUTHWARD TOWARDS ROOKS COUNTY. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
MOST AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR FIRE WEATHER FOR FRIDAY WILL BE
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S AND LOW 40S WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE FOR SATURDAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 30 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES
OF AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED FROM DAWSON COUNTY SOUTHWARD
TOWARDS FURNAS AND HARLAN COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA AND FOR MOST OF NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS. THE LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN WESTERN
PORTIONS OF DAWSON, GOSPER, AND FURNAS COUNTIES. THE LIMITING FACTOR
ON FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR SATURDAY WILL BE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE TEENS AND 20S. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DECREASE FOR SUNDAY BUT
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 25% TO 30% ACROSS THE ABOVE MENTIONED
AREAS WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35
MPH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER ON MONDAY BUT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY
FOR NEZ039-040-046-047-060>062-072>075-082>084.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR NEZ060-072-073-082-083.
KS...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY
FOR KSZ005-017.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ005-017.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...SCHULDT
FIRE WEATHER...SCHULDT
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