799
FXUS63 KGID 250526
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1126 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOW WINDS DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE NE/KS STATE LINE.
- VERY COLD TEMPERATURES PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
- UPCOMING WEEK LOOKS MAINLY DRY AND SOMEWHAT WARMER, THOUGH
STILL ON THE CHILLY SIDE, AT TIMES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 355 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SECOND WAVE OF THIS
DOUBLE-HEADED WINTER MONSTER OF A SYSTEM EJECTING NEWARD OUT OF
THE BAJA REGION. THIS WAVE WILL CONTINUE NE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AND KEEP WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION GOING ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CONUS. HOWEVER, FOR US, REGIONAL RADAR
IMAGERY INDICATES A GRADUAL DECLINE IN REFLECTIVITY OVER THE
PAST 1-2 HOURS AS DRIER AIR NUDGES IN FROM THE N. EXPECT THIS
TREND TO CONTINUE AS THE MAIN BAROCLINIC ZONE SHARPENS UP WELL
S/SE OF OUR AREA AND FOCUSES THE MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION
THERE. EARLIER TODAY, WE CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR AREAS ALONG THE NE/KS STATE LINE AND MOVED UP THE END TIME
OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING TO MIDNIGHT. THESE ACTIONS WERE IN-
LINE WITH HI-RES MODEL TRENDS AT THE TIME, AND GENERALLY STILL
APPEAR TO BE ON-TRACK. MITCHELL CO APPEARS MOST AT-RISK FOR
ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION OF CONSEQUENCE AROUND 1", OR
SO. ELSEWHERE, ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE 1/2", OR LESS.
THE OTHER STORY REMAINS THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. NO MAJOR
CHANGES TO FORECAST WIND CHILLS WITH THIS PACKAGE, OR THE
ONGOING COLD WEATHER ADVISORY. CONTINUED LIGHT WINDS WILL KEEP
VALUES FAIRLY CLOSE TO AIR TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER, MODELS STILL INDICATE AN INCREASE IN NWRLY
WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING SUNDAY, WHICH WILL CONTINUE
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THUS, EXPECT ANOTHER DIP IN WIND CHILLS TO
DANGEROUS LEVELS OF -15F TO -25F SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. WORTH NOTING THAT IMPROVEMENT WILL BE SOMEWHAT SLOW
MONDAY AM AS, EVEN THOUGH AIR TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE TEENS TO
AROUND 20F BY MIDDAY, WIND SPEEDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING. THUS,
WIND CHILLS PROBABLY DON'T RISE ABOVE 0F UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON.
THE REST OF THE WEEK DOESN'T LOOK QUITE AS COLD. HOWEVER, WE'RE
PUTTING DOWN A LOT OF COVERAGE OF SNOW AND ICE ACROSS A
SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE CENTRAL CONUS THIS WEEKEND, AND
THAT'S GOING TO TAKE SOME WORK TO OVERCOME. OFTEN TIMES, MODELS
UNDER-ESTIMATE THIS AND WARM TEMPERATURES TOO QUICKLY. EXPECT
WE'LL SEE HIGHS CLIMB BACK INTO THE 30S FOR MIDWEEK, BUT
WIDESPREAD OR PERSISTENT 40S ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY HARD TO
COME BY FOR TUE-WED IN RECENT MODELS TRENDS. ENSEMBLES SUGGEST
ANOTHER LOBE OF ARCTIC AIR FOR LATE WEEK BEHIND A CLIPPER-LIKE
SYSTEM, BUT SO FAR, IT DOESN'T APPEAR TO BE AS SEVERE OR LONG-
LASTING AS THIS WEEKEND'S. THIS LOOKS TO BE OUR NEXT SOMEWHAT
DECENT CHANCE FOR MOISTURE, ALBEIT WEAK/LIGHT.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO RETAIN ACROSS THE PERIOD. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME BROKEN TO OVERCAST
ACROSS THE AFTERNOON WITH CEILING AS LOW AS 5-10KFT. THERE IS A
NON-ZERO CHANCE OF FLURRIES BETWEEN 21 AND 0Z (10% CHANCE AND
MAINLY FOR KEAR). VISIBILITIES EITHER WAY SHOULD NOT BE
IMPACTED WITH ACCUMULATIONS HIGHLY UNLIKELY.
WEAK WINDS TONIGHT WILL REORGANIZE OUT OUT OF THE NORTH FOR
SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BUILD THROUGH THE MORNING, BLOWING BETWEEN
10-15KTS DURING THE DAY AND GUSTING AS HIGH AS 20-25KTS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR NEZ039>041-
046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.
KS...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR KSZ005>007-
017>019.
DISCUSSION...THIES
AVIATION...STUMP
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