351
FXUS63 KGID 261650
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1050 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY THAT HAS REMAINED IN EFFECT FOR THE
PAST FEW DAYS WILL FINALLY COME TO AN END BY NOON TODAY.
HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL REACH THE MID 20S TO MID 30S WITH
LOWS TONIGHT IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS.
- THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOWER END POPS
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY (25-35% CHANCES).
- TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM BACK UP TO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 50S
BY WEDNESDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO FALL SOME AGAIN
NEAR THE END OF THE WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 235 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
ONE FINAL NIGHT OF THE SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES WILL COME TO AN END
THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE SET TO WARM BACK INTO THE
MID 20S TO MID 30S AS SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS MOVE IN A "WARMER"
AIRMASS. IN ADDITION, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD HELP FINISH THE JOB,
ALLOWING THE SUN TO DO THE THING IT IS BEST AT (DIURNAL WARMING).
THESE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS, SET UP FOLLOWING THE THE EXIT OF A HIGHER
PRESSURE CENTER, WILL BLOW BETWEEN 10-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25-30MPH POSSIBLE. LOWS TONIGHT MAY STILL SCRAPE
DOWN INTO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS, THOUGH WIND CHILL
VALUES SHOULD NOT CROSS FAR BELOW ZERO AGAIN (VALUES ONLY AS LOW AS -
5 DEGREES). AS RESULT THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS SET TO END TODAY
AT NOON.
BEYOND THE TEMPERATURES TODAY, DRIER WEATHER (AT LEAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY) WILL STICK AROUND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL BUILDING WESTERN
U.S. RIDGE MOVES IN CLOSER TO THE AREA (PROVIDING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT).
A WEAK WARMING TREND WILL ADDITIONALLY BUMP TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 50S AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
SHORTLY AFTER MAY KEEP THIS WARMING TREND IN ALL LIKELINESS, SHORT-
LIVED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 350 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
BOY LAST NIGHT/THIS MORNING SURE WAS A COLD ONE, IN SPOTS,
THANKS TO THE FRESH SNOW COVER, CLEARING SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS.
IN FACT, A FEW LOCATIONS DIPPED TO DOUBLE-DIGITS BELOW ZERO FOR
AIR TEMPERATURES! DON'T THINK WE'LL GET *QUITE* AS COLD TONIGHT
FOR AIR TEMPERATURES, BUT A LIGHT BREEZE WILL STILL CAUSE VERY
COLD WIND CHILLS IN THE -15 TO -25 DEGREE RANGE FOR THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. ALSO, IMPROVEMENT WILL BE SLOW MONDAY MORNING
SINCE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE RISING IN CONCERT WITH SLOWLY RISING
AIR TEMPS. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY,
AND IT SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT NOON ON MONDAY.
HELD ONTO SOME VERY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES IN
OUR FAR W THIS EVENING, BUT MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SLIDE
THROUGH SW NEBRASKA INTO W KANSAS. OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST
REMAINS DRY UNTIL LATE IN THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. LATEST
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES
INTERACTING WITH AN INCREASINGLY TIGHT BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS, ON THE SW FRINGE OF ANOTHER INTENSE HIGH PRESSURE
WORKING S OUT OF CANADA. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME UPSLOPE FLOW
COMPONENT TO THE PRECIP CHANCES. AT ANY RATE, THE 50 MEMBER EPS
KEEPS TOTAL PRECIP AMOUNTS QUITE LIGHT, WITH ONLY ABOUT 10
PERCENT OF THE MEMBERS GIVING MORE THAN A TENTH OF QPF. COULD BE
ANOTHER LONG, DRAWN OUT, PERIOD OF LIGHT PRECIP CHANCES, AS
WELL - PERHAPS FROM THURSDAY NIGHT ALL THE WAY INTO SATURDAY, AT
LEAST ON AN OFF AND ON BASIS.
TEMPERATURES WILL TRY TO WARM BACK INTO THE UPPER 30S AND 40S FOR
WEDNESDAY (MAYBE 50F IN FURNAS COUNTY?), BUT THIS WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED AS ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR MOVES IN THURSDAY AND
ESPECIALLY FOR FRIDAY. FORTUNATELY, THIS NEXT ROUND DOESN'T
LOOK TO BE NEARLY AS INTENSE OR PERSISTENT. IN FACT, LATEST
ENSEMBLE BLENDS AGREE ON A DECENT UPWARD TREND IN FORECAST TEMPS
BEGINNING LATE NEXT WEEKEND AND CONTINUING INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE (95%) IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED HIGH
CLOUDS ARRIVE ON TUESDAY.
BREEZY SW WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OVER
25KT. WINDS DECREASE AND TURN TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR NEZ039>041-
046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.
KS...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR KSZ005>007-
017>019.
UPDATE...STUMP
DISCUSSION...THIES
AVIATION...MANGELS
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