011
FXUS63 KGID 270922
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
322 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH WEDNESDAY (LOW 30S TO LOW
50S) WITH THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
CONCENTRATED PLACES.
- A COLD FRONT EARLY THURSDAY WILL BRING A END-OF-WEEK COOLING
TREND THAT WILL DROP HIGHS BACK TO THE TEENS AND 20S BY FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY.
- A HANDFUL OF MINOR/WEAK SNOW CHANCES LIE ACROSS THE PERIOD
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING (20-40% CHANCES). AT THIS
TIME, SNOWFALL AMOUNTS REMAIN MORE ON THE LOW-END DUE TO HIGH
UNCERTAINTY (ACCUMULATIONS <1").
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 321 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE FAVORED TO REBOUND BACK TO THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW CLOUDS MOVING INTO
THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. IN ADDITION, HIGHER PRESSURE BEHIND
A WEAK PASSING COLD FRONT LATER THIS MORNING WILL SET UP WEAK
NORTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON (GUSTS <15MPH). THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN HEADING
INTO WEDNESDAY, LEAVING LIGHT TO VARIABLE WINDS IN PLACE ACROSS
A MAJORITY OF THE DAY. HIGHS FOR THE WEEK WILL MORE THAN LIKELY
PEAK WEDNESDAY IN THE LOW 30S TO LOW 50S, GENERALLY WARMEST
TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND WEST. LOWS OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
SHOULD SETTLE IN THE TEENS.
THE NEXT PATTERN CHANGE UP WILL TRANSPIRE OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY AS A
MORE PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT POWERS DOWN SOUTH, DROPPING HIGHS BY 10-
20 DEGREES (MID 20S TO MID 30S). IN ADDITION TO THE COLDER
TEMPERATURES, THE NEXT SLIGHT SNOW CHANCE WILL ARRIVE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY (10-40% CHANCES). A FEW BANDED SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP
UNDERNEATH A PASSING SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE, SETTING UP PRIMARILY
ACROSS THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA. CURRENT
GFS/ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO PROJECT MUCH SUBSTANTIAL
QPE WITH THIS WAVE, LEAVING US WITH LOWER THAN USUAL CONFIDENCE IN
TERMS OF POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. AS OF NOW, AREAS THAT MAY SEE
ANY SNOW AT ALL (NORTHERN LYING AREAS) WILL MORE THAN LIKELY NOT
RECEIVE ANY NOTABLE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (<1").
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1146 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR, BUT WITH INCREASING CLOUD
COVER AND A LIGHTER NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY WIND. WEDNESDAY IS
EXPECTED TO BE THE NICEST DAY OF THE WEEK AS THE TROUGH OF COLD
AIR OVER THE WESTERN CONUS NUDGES EASTWARD SLIGHTLY. RELATIVELY
LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S (AND POSSIBLY LOW 50S IN THE WEST).
UNFORTUNATELY, THIS WARMUP WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS A SHORTWAVE
BRINGS SOME COOLER (NOT OVERLY COLD) AIR TO THE REGION AGAIN ON
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AS MENTIONED IN THE KEY MESSAGES,
THIS WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY PERIODS LIGHT SNOW. GLOBAL
ENSEMBLES HAVE TRENDED UPWARDS SLIGHTLY ON AMOUNTS, ALTHOUGH
MOST LOCATIONS WILL STILL BE LUCKY TO SEE ANYTHING MORE THAN A
DUSTING.
BEYOND THAT, ENSEMBLES STILL FAVOR A WARMING TREND AS WE HEAD
INTO FEBRUARY. THE 00Z EPS SHOWS 7-DAY TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES OF
+5 TO +10 DEGREES (F) FOR FEB 1-7. THE GEFS AND GEPS ARE A
LITTLE MORE RESERVED, BUT STILL FAVOR A WARMING TREND.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ALSO LOOK PRETTY LACKLUSTER THROUGH AT
LEAST THE FIRST FULL WEEK OF FEBRUARY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE (95%) IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED HIGH
CLOUDS ARRIVE ON TUESDAY.
BREEZY SW WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OVER
25KT. WINDS DECREASE AND TURN TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1131 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
NOT MANY SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO AVIATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
6Z TAF PERIOD. CLOUDS FILLING IN ACROSS THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY
EVENING HOURS SHOULD KEEP BASES WELL ABOVE MVFR LEVELS
(10,000-15,000FT). WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL REMAIN MOSTLY LIGHT
THROUGH THE DAY WITH DIRECTION GENERALLY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST.
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...STUMP
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...STUMP
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