723
FXUS63 KGID 220534
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1134 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
..AVIATION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.
- A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP ARRIVES TUESDAY AND LASTS THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WORKWEEK.
- LIGHT PRECIPITATION (MAINLY RAIN) IS POSSIBLE (30-40% CHANCE)
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 144 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
SCATTERED CUMULUS PERSISTS OVER CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE AREA,
BUT THERE IS STILL ENOUGH SUN TO QUICKLY MELT MUCH OF THE SNOW
THAT FELL OVER NORTHERN KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT. SKIES WILL CLEAR
TONIGHT, AND TEMPERATURES WILL DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS BY SUNDAY MORNING (COLDEST IN NORTHERN SNOW-COVERED
AREAS).
SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY, BUT WITH A BIG STRONGER NORTH-
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. EASTERN AREAS COULD SEE GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH
AS A SHORTWAVE PASSES TO OUR TO OUR EAST. SUNDAY NIGHT IS
ANTICIPATED TO BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE
EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE ARE, AND SOME AREAS COULD SEE SUBZERO
TEMPERATURES TO START THE DAY ON MONDAY.
MONDAY TRENDS A BIT WARMER AS RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE WEST, AND
THIS WARMUP WILL KICK INTO HIGH GEAR WITH THE ARRIVAL OF
WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ON TUESDAY. ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
(HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S) THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORKWEEK. THIS WARMTH COULD RESULT IN A HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER
THREAT, ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE HEAVILY DEPENDENT UPON THE
MAGNITUDE OF WINDS...WHICH IS STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN.
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. SNOW CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT, BUT MOST ENSEMBLES
KEEP US WARM ENOUGH FOR THIS TO FALL AS MOSTLY RAIN. AND QPF
AMOUNTS ARE NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE...THE 13Z NBM ONLY SHOWS A
~20% CHANCE TO SEE 0.10" OF LIQUID.
GLOBAL ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO HINT AT ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR,
ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION NEXT WEEKEND AND
INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK (FEB 28 TO MAR 2ND TIMEFRAME), BUT
DETAILS ON THIS REMAIN VERY UNCERTAIN.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1125 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH JUST A
FEW PASSING CLOUDS.
OVERNIGHT...EXPECT STEADY NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 10 KTS AT BOTH
TERMINALS WITH CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE
AROUND DAYBREAK...BECOMING STEADY AT 12-14 KTS...WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 20 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. OTHER THAN SOME PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS LATE IN THE PERIOD, SKIES SHOULD BE CLEAR DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS SUNDAY.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...ROSSI
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