383
FXUS63 KGID 130502
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1202 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON WITH
A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9PM.
- STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL RESULT IN SOME
PATCHY BLOWING DUST IN SPOTS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
- A SEE-SAW OF TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES MAY ONLY REACH THE MID 30S FOR BOTH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY BEFORE BOUNCING BACK ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY TOWARDS THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- VERY WINDY CONDITIONS RETURN SUNDAY WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60+
MPH POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW (SNOW WILL BE FOCUSED
MAINLY NORTH OF I-80).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
DRY, WINDY AND WARM CONDITIONS PERSISTED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
TODAY. THIS COMBINATION HAS LED TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS, WITH MULTIPLE FIRES BEING REPORTED ACROSS THE
AREA. EXPECT WINDS TO SUBSIDE 5-15 MPH THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS AS THE GRADUALLY SHIFT AND BECOME MORE WESTERLY IN
THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH, BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN DURING THE LATE
EVENING HOURS BEHIND THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WHILE NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS APPROACHING FRONT, EXPECT A
DISTINCT SHIFT IN WINDS AND COLD AIR ADVECTION TO RESULT IN A
NOTABLY COOLER DAY ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW.
WITH A COOLER AIRMASS AND LIGHTER WINDS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
SHOULD EASE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY BEFORE ONCE AGAIN
INCREASING ON SATURDAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN, HELPING TO
ADVECT IN A WARMER AIRMASS ALONG WITH BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.
WHILE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DO NOT LOOK AS CRITICAL OR
WIDESPREAD AS WHAT WE HAVE SEEN TODAY, EXPECT AT LEAST NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO RETURN FOR AT LEAST PART
(MAINLY SW HALF) OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
THIS WARM-UP WILL BE BRIEF, HOWEVER, AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY BRINGING BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES, LIGHT SNOW AND VERY STRONG WINDS TO THE LOCAL
AREA. AT THIS POINT, WINDS IN MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE POINTING
AT 50-60+ MPH WIND GUST POTENTIAL, ALONG WITH UPWARDS OF AN
INCH OF SNOW FOCUSED MAINLY NORTH OF I-80. WHILE THE WINDS MAY
EVENTUALLY JUSTIFY A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
SUNDAY, WINDS THIS STRONG COMBINED WITH ANY SNOW COULD CAUSE
SOME SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS SUNDAY, SO WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THIS PERIOD.
BEYOND SUNDAY, EXPECT A VERY COLD START TO NEXT WEEK WITH LOWS
MONDAY MORNING LIKELY FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS IN OUR
TYPICALLY COOLEST SPOTS AND HIGHS MONDAY AFTERNOON ONCE AGAIN
STRUGGLING TO CLIMB OUT OF THE MID-30S. THEREAFTER, STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST FOR A
POTENTIALLY EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME - MEANING DRY AND WARM
CONDITIONS POTENTIALLY FINISHING OUT MUCH OF THE MONTH OF MARCH.
COULD EVEN SEE THE RETURN OF SOME 80 DEGREE TEMPERATURES BY NEXT
WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
NORTHWEST WINDS DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY,
SWITCHING BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST BY FRIDAY EVENING. SOME LLWS IS
POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT, BUT THIS WOULD BE MAINLY AFTER THE END OF
THE TAF PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR NEZ039>041-
046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.
KS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR KSZ005>007-
017>019.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...MANGELS
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