114
FXUS63 KGID 291747
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1247 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S AND 80S TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL
DROP TUESDAY FOLLOWING A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. TEMPERATURES
BETWEEN TUESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL MAINLY RANGE BETWEEN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION (20-50%) LIES TUESDAY. MOST
AREAS SHOULD EXPECT TO RECEIVE LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION
ACCUMULATION.
- SEVERAL OTHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES RESIDE IN THE FORECAST
THIS WEEK. THE OVERALL BEST CHANCES CURRENTLY LIES WEDNESDAY
NIGHT (60- 70%) AND FRIDAY (40-60%).
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
TODAY:
ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY, THOUGH A TOUCH ON THE WARMER SIDE, WILL BE IN
STORE AGAIN TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO PEAK IN THE MID 70S
TO MID 80S, OR AROUND 20-30 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. THIS JUMP UP OF AROUND 10-20 DEGREES FROM YESTERDAY'S
TEMPERATURES COMES AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BLANKETS THE REGION,
ADDITIONALLY BATTING AWAY ANY CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. AT THE
SURFACE, STEADY SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD MAINLY KEEP BETWEEN 10-15 MPH
WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20-25MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF THE AREA. LIGHTER WINDS FOR LOCATIONS NEAR AND
NORTHWEST OF THE TRI-CITIES MAY EVEN BECOME LIGHT TO VARIABLE AT
TIMES. GIVEN THE LIMITED DEWPOINTS (30S TO LOW 40S), RH VALUES AS
LOW AS 10-30% WITH STEADY TO OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS, MAY INTRODUCE
A FEW AREAS OF ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS A FEW SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TODAY.
MONDAY & TUESDAY:
A VERY SIMILAR STORY IS SET TO RETURN FOR MONDAY. HIGHS WILL BE
LIKELY TO ONCE AGAIN SPREAD THE 80S WITH THE WEAK TO STEADY
SOUTHERLY WINDS REMAINING IN PLACE. MEANWHILE, THE EXPANSIVE RIDGING
PATTERN ALOFT SHOULD KEEP ITS REAL ESTATE FOR ONE MORE DAY, BEFORE
AN UPSTREAM NORTHWEST U.S. SHORTWAVE CENTERED TROUGH TAKES OVER.
THIS FEATURE, CURRENTLY WAITING IN THE WINGS, WILL BE EXPECTED TO
CROSS OVER TO CENTER STAGE ON TUESDAY. AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT
WILL BEGIN TO ALIGN ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES,
TAKING AIM AT THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS SOMETIME TUESDAY
MORNING.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING AN END TO THE EXTENDED WEEKEND WARM UP AND
ALSO POTENTIALLY A SHORT BREAK FROM THE DRY CONDITIONS. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT TUESDAY WILL SWING BACK TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION, BLOWING
BETWEEN 20-25MPH DURING THE DAY AND GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30-40MPH.
THOUGH PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN FOR TUESDAY (20-50%), FORECAST
AMOUNTS AT THIS POINT IN TIME DO NOT APPEAR TO BE OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
(0-0.1"). THE BETTER PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL WON'T COME UNTIL LATER
ON WEDNESDAY (60-70%). OTHERWISE, EXPECT TO SEE TEMPERATURES DROP
AROUND 20-30 DEGREES TUESDAY WITH HIGH FORECAST TO RANGE THE 50S TO
LOW 60S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 347 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE CURRENTLY SITTING IN THE 60S.
SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 35-45MPH COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES IN THE TEENS ARE RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10PM. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS, BUT STEADILY DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SUNDAY...
ALOFT RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES/PLAINS ON SUNDAY, RESULTING IN
ANOTHER WARM DAY ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE 70S AND 80S
ACROSS THE AREA. A PUSH OF WESTERLY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
WILL ALLOW WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TO CLIMB INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN ON SATURDAY, WITH GUSTS
GENERALLY BELOW 20MPH. THE LIGHTER WINDS WILL ALSO KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS LOWER DESPITE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 20% ALONG
AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281. STILL, AN AREA OF ELEVATED TO NEAR-
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAINS POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE GUSTS REACH
20MPH.
MONDAY...
THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE MOVES OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ROCKIES. HIGHS SOAR INTO
THE 80S TO LOW 90S, WARMEST ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ON MONDAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO SUNDAY, BELOW 20% ALONG/WEST OF HIGHWAY 281. LIGHT
WINDS (GUSTS GENERALLY BELOW 20MPH) KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
LOWER. ENJOY THIS WARMTH WHILE YOU CAN, AS NOTICEABLY COOLER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
TUESDAY ONWARDS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY MORNING, BRINGING MUCH COOLER (SEASONABLE) TEMPERATURES TO
THE AREA. NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 30-40MPH ARE FAVORED BEHIND THE
FRONT, CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. ANYTHING THAT
DOES FALL ON TUESDAY LOOKS TO REMAIN QUITE LIGHT, WITH THE ECMWF AND
GFS ENSEMBLES INDICATING A LESS THAN 10% CHANCE FOR 0.10" OR MORE.
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE AREA AND PERSISTS THROUGH THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODEL SPREAD WITHIN THIS SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW RESULTS IN BROAD, CONTINUED POPS THROUGHOUT THE LATTER HALF OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS MODEL SPREAD BRINGS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO
HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION THE AREA WILL ACTUALLY SEE, BUT OVERALL
ACCUMULATIONS DO NOT LOOK TO BE MUCH AT THIS TIME. THE GFS AND ECMWF
ENSEMBLES INDICATE A 50-70% CHANCE FOR 0.10" THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
AND A LESS THAN 20% CHANCE FOR 0.5", WITH THE OVERALL HIGHEST
CHANCES ACROSS EAST/SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SOME OF THIS
COULD FALL AS A RAIN/SNOW MIX DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT ANY
WINTER IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOOKS
TO MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY, WITH THE BEST POP
CHANCES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PERIOD. SOUTHWEST WINDS
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND 5-10KTS
LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD. FEW HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MID-LEVEL CLOUDS BUILD OVER THE
AREA AFTER SUNRISE ON MONDAY.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...STUMP
DISCUSSION...DAVIS
AVIATION...DAVIS
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