643
FXUS63 KGID 310535
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1235 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
- THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN (POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SNOW) HAS
INCREASED FOR WEDNESDAY.
- ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF PRECIPITATION
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
- SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
DESPITE WIDESPREAD HIGH CLOUDS, THE UNSEASONABLY WARM AIRMASS
IS RESULTING IN ANOTHER DAY OF NEAR-RECORD WARMTH TODAY. THE
CURRENT RECORDS ARE 89 AND 90 DEGREES AT HASTINGS AND GRAND
ISLAND, RESPECTIVELY. WE MAY COME UP JUST SHORT OF THESE
RECORDS, BUT IT IS STILL A VERY IMPRESSIVE WARMUP GIVEN THE
CLOUD COVER. A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON,
BUT NOTHING MEASURABLE IS EXPECTED DUE TO DRY LOW- LEVEL AIR.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE, A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA PRIOR TO SUNRISE ON TUESDAY (ROUGHLY 3AM IN THE NORTH,
AND NEAR 8AM IN THE SOUTH). GUSTS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH ARE VERY
LIKELY, AND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE (40% CHANCE). TUESDAY
WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S. LOWER
DEWPOINTS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE COOLDOWN, SO HUMIDITY MAY
STILL DIP TO AROUND 25% IN SOME AREAS, RESULTING IN ELEVATED TO
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION (MAINLY RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH
SNOW) INCREASE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER
TROUGH PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. MANY AREAS WILL REMAIN
DRY THROUGH MIDDAY, BUT ALL AREAS ARE FAVORED TO SEE AT LEAST
SOME PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A FEW
RUMBLES OF THUNDER CANNOT BE RULED OUT, BUT ANY SEVERE THREAT
REMAINS TO OUR SOUTHEAST. FOR MOST AREAS, PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE COLD RAIN, POSSIBLY MIXED WITH
SOME SNOW. BUT NORTHWEST AREAS COULD SEE SOME MINOR SNOW
ACCUMULATION (20-30% FOR 0.5"+ IN GRASSY AREAS).
THERE IS SOME CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM IN FAIRLY BENEFICIAL PRECIP
TOTALS. THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, THE 00Z ENSEMBLE SUITE SHOWS
A 50-90% CHANCE (HIGHEST NORTHEAST) FOR 0.25"+ OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT PRECIP. WHILE NOT A WIDESPREAD "DROUGHT-BUSTER", THIS
WOULD BE A STEP IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION AND WILL HOPEFULLY HELP
WITH THE WILDFIRE THREAT.
THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE WITH DAILY
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S AND LOW 60S. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL
BRING ANOTHER SHOT FOR RAIN/SNOW ON FRIDAY. NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE THEN FAVORED TO RETURN AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETAIN ACROSS THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH CLOUDS FILLING IN THROUGH THE DAY AND NIGHT. CEILINGS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 10,000FT. THOUGH NOT COMPLETELY A 0%
CHANCE, PRECIPITATION WILL MORE THAN LIKELY HOLD OFF THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING.
THE PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE A POWERING COLD FRONT THAT
PASSES THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING (BETWEEN 9-12Z). THIS FRONT
WILL QUICKLY STEER WINDS TO THE NORTH WITH SPEEDS SHARPLY
RISING TO BETWEEN 20-25KTS AND WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS TO JUST
OVER 35-40KTS THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. CLOSE TO
SUNSET, THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK AWAY BACK TO STEADY
10-15KTS WINDS TUESDAY EVENING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...STUMP
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