642
FXUS63 KGID 010541
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1241 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN SHOWERS ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY AND LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. NO SNOW IS EXPECTED.
- A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED, BUT A FEW
STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.
- ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN/SNOW MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT, BUT HIGHEST PRECIP TOTALS ARE FAVORED TO BE TO THE
EAST.
- DRIER AND WARMER (NOT OVERLY HOT) CONDITIONS RETURN EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
WINDS ARE ON A DECREASING TREND, WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. WIND DIRECTION WILL ALSO GRADUALLY SWITCH
AROUND TO THE EAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF RAIN TO THE AREA STARTING LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODELS
HAVE TRENDED A TOUCH WARMER AND FURTHER NORTH WITH ANY SNOW
POTENTIAL. INSTEAD, THERE IS AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN
STORM THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST...ALONG
A STATIONARY BOUNDARY. BUT AT LEAST A FEW ISOLATED STORMS
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. INSTABILITY IS
LIMITED (100-500 J/KG MUCAPE), BUT THIS WILL BE PARTIALLY
OFFSET BY SYNOPTIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW. DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR IS STRONG, AND MELTING LEVELS WILL BE LOW, SO A FEW OF THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SOME SUB-SEVERE
HAIL.
IN TOTAL, PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE FAVORED TO BE HIGHEST IN THE
NORTHEAST AND LIGHTEST IN THE SOUTHWEST. SOME AREAS TO THE SOUTH
AND WEST OF THE TRI-CITIES MAY STRUGGLE TO SEE 0.10", WHILE
ISOLATED AREAS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA MAY SEE OVER 1.00". OF
COURSE, GIVEN THE ISOLATED/SPOTTY COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS,
PINNING DOWN EXACT TOTALS WILL REMAIN DIFFICULT.
A FEW SHOWERS COULD LINGER PAST SUNRISE ON THURSDAY, BUT
OTHERWISE DRIER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RETURN. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT, BUT MANY MODELS KEEP OUR AREA MOSTLY (OR EVEN COMPLETELY)
DRY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY MEANINGFUL PRECIP WILL BE TO THE
EAST.
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE BEHIND THIS SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. WINDS MAY NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS TODAY
(TUESDAY), BUT GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE (30-70% CHANCE).
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHTS LOOK TO BE THE COLDEST NIGHTS
OF THE WEEK, WITH WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S. IT MIGHT
BE A GOOD IDEA TO DRAIN HOSES AND SPRINKLERS THAT BEEN USED
EARLIER THIS SPRING. RIDGING THEN RETURNS TO THE WESTERN CONUS
EARLY NEXT WEEK, RESULTING IN A RETURN TO ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MID MORNING THROUGH THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD. BKN-OVC MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT, WITH LOW STRATUS MOVING INTO THE AREA AROUND SUNRISE
WEDNESDAY. MVFR CEILINGS DEVELOP OVER THE AREA DURING THE MID-
LATE MORNING HOURS. HAVE SHIFTED THE START TIME OF MVFR
CEILINGS ONE HOUR LATER AS RECENT GUIDANCE IS A LITTLE SLOWER ON
THE START TIME. MVFR CEILINGS GRADUALLY LOWER DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING HOURS, WITH IFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE IN THE
SHOWERS. CEILINGS ARE FAVORED TO LOWER TO IFR AROUND SUNSET, AT
TIMES REACHING LIFR. ADDITIONALLY, EMBEDDED/SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE BROADER RAIN SHIELD
WEDNESDAY EVENING. HAVE INDICATED THIS POTENTIAL WITH A PROB30
GROUP AS THE TIMING OF ANY STORM IS UNCERTAIN.
LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE EAST
AROUND SUNRISE, AND REMAIN EASTERLY THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD. WINDS GUSTING AROUND 20KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE
MORNING-AFTERNOON.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...DAVIS
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