538
FXUS63 KGID 041148
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
648 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COOL AND BLUSTERY, BUT DRY, TODAY. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
POSSIBLE FOR FAR W/SW FRINGES OF FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
- WARMER AND MORE PLEASANT FOR EASTER SUNDAY, ESP. FOR THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING HOURS.
- MODERATE RAIN CHANCES (UP TO 40-50%) RETURN ON MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY, WITH EVEN HIGHER CHANCES (60-80%) FORECAST FOR
LATER NEXT WEEK. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY BE THUNDERSTORMS.
- TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK APPEAR SEASONABLE FOR APRIL, WITH HIGHS
MOST DAYS 50S-60S AND LOWS MOST NIGHTS 20S-40S. AT LEAST FOR
NOW, WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE THE OVERALL-WARMEST DAY WITH HIGHS
70S-LOW 80S.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 430 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR TODAY. WINDS WERE NUDGED UP
SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE EXPECTED STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES, DEEP MIXING, AND UNIDIRECTIONAL LOW LEVEL FLOW. THESE
WINDS WILL MAKE FOR A CHILLY/BLUSTERY DAY AS HIGHS REMAIN IN THE
50S, FOR MOST. FEELS LIKE TEMPERATURES MAY REMAIN IN THE 30S FOR
AREAS AROUND THE TRI-CITIES NORTH AND EAST, WHERE LOW CLOUDS
WILL BE MORE STUBBORN, THROUGH MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
APPEARS ANY LAPSE RATE DRIVEN AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL FAVOR AREAS
FURTHER N/NE OF THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA. COMBINATION OF GUSTY
WINDS AND CONTINUED DRY W/NW FLOW COULD LEAD TO AT LEAST A FEW
HOURS OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER FAR W/SW
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON, ROUGHLY OVER THE SAME AREAS THAT HAD THE
RED FLAG WARNING YESTERDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE COOL ENOUGH
TO PRECLUDE CRITICAL-LEVEL RHS. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF INTO
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S TONIGHT.
EASTER SUNDAY STILL APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY PLEASANT, PARTICULARLY
FOR THE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING HOURS, THANKS TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS. ALSO EXPECT A LOT OF SUNSHINE.
EXPECT WALL TO WALL 60S TO AROUND 70F FOR HIGHS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LOWER FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS COMPARED TO
TODAY, BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER...SO NO MAJOR FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
TEMPERATURES COOL OFF SOME FOR MONDAY, THEN JUMP BACK UP ON
TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY WHEN HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. WE'LL SEE SOME PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO
THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, BUT BY FAR THE HIGHEST
CHANCES THIS FORECAST PERIOD COME LATER NEXT WEEK. SOME OF THIS
COULD COME AS THUNDERSTORMS, BUT IT'S STILL FAR TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE IF ANY OF THIS MAY BE STRONG OR SEVERE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 229 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND THE GREAT
PLAINS. UPPER LIFT HAS INCREASED ACROSS NEBRASKA AND KANSAS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW. THIS HAS RESULTED IN SHOWERS,
DRIZZLE AND FOG DEVELOPING EARLIER TODAY THAT HAS CLEARED OUT OF THE
FORECAST AREA. WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ARE OUT OF THE NORTH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY RANGING FROM THE 40S IN THE NORTH AND EAST TO THE 50S AND 60S
IN THE SOUTH AND WEST. A SURFACE TROUGH/LOW IS ACROSS WESTERN
NEBRASKA AND WESTERN KANSAS WHICH HAS RESULTED IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND CLEARING SKIES. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP INTO THE 20S AND 30S BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
NEBRASKA AND KANSAS WILL BE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH ON
SATURDAY WITH GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
MOSTLY BE IN THE 50S AND 60S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT
WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THOSE FROM THE PREVIOUS NIGHT WITH LIGHT,
WESTERLY WINDS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM UP INTO THE 60S
AND 70S ON SUNDAY WITH THE AREA IN BETWEEN 2 SURFACE TROUGHS. A COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY RANGING
FROM THE 40S TO NEAR 70. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ON TUESDAY WITH
WINDS INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTH, ALTHOUGH THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE HIGH TEMPERATURES DUE TO INCREASED LIFT AND
CLOUD COVER. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM ON WEDNESDAY AS
WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. COOLER TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY DUE TO A COLD FRONT BUT THERE IS HIGH
UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS TO THE HIGH TEMPERATURES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES
IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE FRONT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
INCREASE AGAIN NEXT WEEK WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES THURSDAY NIGHT
(60% TO 75% CHANCE).
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 644 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
TODAY: THERE'S CURRENTLY A BREAK IN SOME LOW LEVEL STRATUS OVER
THE TERMINALS NOW, BUT EXPECT MORE TO MOVE BACK IN FROM THE NW
BY AROUND 13-14Z. THE STRATUS MAY BE MORE PREVALENT AT GRI THAN
EAR. CIGS WILL BE VERY NEAR THE MVFR/VFR THRESHOLD THROUGH MID
MORNING, BUT SHOULD RISE TOWARDS 4-5K FT BY AROUND MIDDAY. SKIES
SHOULD CLEAR OUT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE STRONG OUT OF THE
NW TODAY, SUSTAINED 15-25KT, AND GUSTS 30-35KT. CONFIDENCE: HIGH
TONIGHT: WINDS WILL WEAKEN QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET, BUT REMAIN OUT
OF THE NW TO W (AT AROUND 5-10KT) OVERNIGHT. NOT EXPECTING MUCH,
IF ANY, CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT. CONFIDENCE: HIGH.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...THIES
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...THIES
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