044
FXUS63 KGID 042320
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
620 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
..AVIATION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON GENERALLY WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE TRI-CITIES AREA.
- THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION (15%-30%) IS ON MONDAY WITH
VARIOUS CHANCES THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST.
- THE HIGHEST CHANCE (60%-75%) OF PRECIPITATION (SHOWERS AND
STORMS) IS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
- THERE ARE LARGE UNCERTAINTIES WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CENTERED OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND EXTENDS
OVER NEBRASKA AND KANSAS. GUSTY, NORTHWEST WINDS ARE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE 40S TO THE 60S BUT WINDS WILL
MAKE IT FEEL COOLER. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON (WEST OF THE TRI-CITIES AREA) WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITY VALUES OF AROUND 22% - 26% ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA AND WIND GUSTS OF 20-30+ MPH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AND WEST TONIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES COOLING
INTO THE 20S AND 30S.
WINDS WILL TRANSITION FROM THE WEST TO NORTH NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY BUT
WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN TODAY. THE AREA WILL BE IN BETWEEN 2
SURFACE LOWS ON SUNDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM UP
INTO THE 60S AND 70S. WINDS WILL TRANSITION TO THE EAST NORTHEAST
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES A LITTLE WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS
NIGHT BUT STILL IN THE 20S AND 30S. COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE 40S TO THE 60S. SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAY
DEVELOP (15%-30% CHANCE) MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-CITIES ON
MONDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN ATMOSPHERIC LIFT. WINDS WILL TRANSITION
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION (RAIN
POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW) POSSIBLE (15% - 40% CHANCE). LOW
TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 20S AND 30S
(COOLER THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT).
ENHANCED UPPER LIFT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY. THIS ALONG
WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS MAY RESULT IN INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
MOISTURE. DRIZZLE ALONG WITH LIGHT RAIN/LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON TUESDAY (30% TO NEAR 60% CHANCE) WITH ANY SNOW BEING IN THE
MORNING HOURS. THERE ARE UNCERTAINTIES IN HOW LONG THE CLOUD COVER
AND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY WHICH HAS LEAD TO
UNCERTAINTIES IN HIGH TEMPERATURES. AS OF NOW, EXPECTING HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY TO RANGE FROM THE LOW 50S TO LOW 70S
ALTHOUGH SOME PLACES ACROSS THE NORTH MAY NOT GET OUT OF THE 40S.
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT
WHICH WILL RESULT IN WARMER LOW TEMPERATURES. AT THIS TIME,
EXPECTING LOWS TO MOSTLY BE IN THE 40S.
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST ON
WEDNESDAY SENDING A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO WARM UP ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT BUT THERE ARE SOME
UNCERTAINTIES IN REGARDS TO HOW WARM IT WILL GET. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY IN HIGH TEMPERATURES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT. HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN
REGARDS TO TEMPERATURES CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (50% TO 75% CHANCE).
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 611 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH JUST A
FEW PASSING MID LEVEL CLOUDS EARLY ON AND DIMINISHING WINDS
THIS EVENING AS THE SURFACE WINDS DECOUPLE AND AN AREA OF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL
INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST A BIT DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS SUNDAY,
BUT WITH A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT, SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 12 KTS
OR LESS...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS DUE TO MODEST MIXING TO NEAR
700 MB DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...ROSSI
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