820  
FXUS63 KGID 141807  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
107 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- FIRE WEATHER TODAY: THE OVERALL-HIGHEST FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS  
WILL TARGET OUR NE/KS COUNTIES ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE STATE  
LINE, WHERE OUTRIGHT-CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY DUE TO THE  
COMBINATION OF STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AT LEAST  
25-35 MPH, AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO AT LEAST 15-20  
PERCENT. AS A RESULT, A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM  
NOON UNTIL 9 PM FOR MOST OF OUR COUNTIES ALONG AND SOUTH OF  
THE NEBRASKA-KANSAS BORDER.  
 
- SPOTTY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING-TONIGHT ("SNEAKY" SEVERE?):  
ISOLATED TO PERHAPS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE  
ALMOST ANYWHERE IN OUR FORECAST AREA. WHILE THE VAST MAJORITY  
OF THIS HIT-OR-MISS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE FAIRLY WEAK, A FEW  
STORMS COULD MAYBE BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY-SEVERE, CAPABLE  
OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO AROUND THE SIZE OF QUARTERS, AND/OR  
WIND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 60 MPH. HOWEVER, THE VAST MAJORITY OF  
POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WILL  
SURELY FOCUS SLIGHTLY EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA ALTOGETHER.  
 
- ON THE VERY EDGE OF ANOTHER SEVERE STORM RISK FRIDAY:  
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING FOR MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF OUR FORECAST AREA. IT  
IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER ANY THREAT FOR SEVERE  
STORMS MIGHT EXIST FOR OUR AREA, OR INSTEAD CONCENTRATE  
SLIGHTLY OFF TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST.  
 
- STRONG NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT: OUR  
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WILL HAVE STRONG NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS  
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 30  
MPH AND GUSTS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH LIKELY.  
 
- ALMOST DAILY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THURS ONWARD: EACH  
AFTERNOON BETWEEN THURSDAY AND MONDAY, AT LEAST NEAR-CRITICAL  
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST DEVELOP WITHIN AT LEAST  
PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. A FEW DAYS COULD ALSO SEE FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS REACH CRITICAL LEVELS, INCLUDING ALREADY ON  
THURSDAY.  
 
- SLIGHTLY SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND: FOR  
THOSE WHO ALREADY HAVE CONCERNS FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND  
IMPACTS TO GARDENING OR IRRIGATION SYSTEMS, AT LEAST SLIGHTLY  
SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES APPEAR POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING,  
BUT ARE PROBABLY MORE LIKELY SUNDAY MORNING.  
 

 
   
UPDATE
 
 
ISSUED AT 520 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026  
 
-- FORECAST CHANGES OF NOTE, BIG PICTURE COMMENTS, AND ANY  
ABBREVIATED LONGER-TERM FORECAST NOTES (FOR BEYOND WEDNESDAY):  
 
- IN THE INTEREST OF TIME, REALLY GOING TO KEEP THE FOCUS HERE  
ON THESE FIRST 36 HOURS. FOR ANYTHING BEYOND THAT, THE  
HIGHLIGHTS ARE COVERED IN KEY MESSAGES ABOVE.  
 
- THAT BEING SAID, ONE THING WORTH POINTING OUT IN THE LONGER  
TERM IS THE CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY THAT STILL EXISTS FOR  
FRIDAY'S STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TIMING, AND THE RESULTANT  
IMPACT ON HIGH TEMPERATURES, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL  
ETC. AT THIS TIME, THE NAM/ECMWF ARE NOTICEABLY FASTER WITH  
THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE THAN THE GFS, WHICH IF THE FASTER  
SOLUTION WERE TO VERIFY COULD RENDER OUR CURRENTLY-FORECAST  
HIGH TEMPS AT LEAST 10+ DEGREES TOO WARM, AND ALSO MORE  
SOLIDLY SHUNT ANY SEVERE STORM RISK IN THE AFTERNOON- EVENING  
AT LEAST SLIGHTLY SOUTH- THROUGH EAST OF OUR CWA (SPC  
OFFICIALLY BARELY CLIPS OUR SOUTHEAST EDGES WITH THEIR LATEST  
DAY 4 "SLIGHT RISK EQUIVALENT/15% AREA).  
 
- FOR ALL FIRE-WEATHER RELATED CONCERNS (INCLUDING TODAY'S RED  
FLAG WARNING), SEE SEPARATE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW FOR  
MORE DETAILS.  
 
-- FOCUS SOLELY ON THE SHORTER-TERM/NEXT 36 HOURS (THROUGH LATE  
WED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING):  
 
- CURRENT/RECENT WEATHER SCENE AS OF 4 AM/GENERAL COMMENTS:  
ALTHOUGH A ROGUE STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPED LATE YESTERDAY  
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING IN OUR FAR NORTHERN CWA (AFFECTING  
MAINLY GREELEY COUNTY), AS EXPECTED WE REMAINED BOTH WELL-  
SOUTHWEST AND WELL-NORTHWEST OF THE MAIN ROUNDS OF SEVERE STORMS  
IN THE GREATER REGION. WE WILL LIKELY REMAIN VERY SLIGHTLY WEST  
OF THE MAIN THREAT AREAS OVER THESE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, BUT CLOSE  
ENOUGH TO AT LEAST MODEST ELEVATED INSTABILITY THAT A FEW  
"SURPRISE" STRONG TO EVEN MARGINALLY-SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE  
RULED OUT.  
 
EARLY THIS MORNING, ALL IS QUIET ACROSS THE CWA, AS WE RESIDE  
UNDER ALMOST ENTIRELY CLEAR SKIES. IN THE MID-UPPER LEVELS,  
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA CONFIRM  
CONTINUED BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT, WITH THE FIRST OF TWO  
PRIMARY/LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGHS OF THE WEEK VERY SLOWLY  
APPROACHING FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE,  
A WEAK BUT FAIRLY WELL DEFINED LOW PRESSURE CENTER (AROUND 1002  
MILLIBARS) RESIDES OVER OUR KS ZONES. DUE TO THE POSITION OF  
THIS LOW, A WEST-SOUTHWEST TO EAST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED QUASI-  
STATIONARY FRONT BISECTS OUR SOUTHERN CWA, SEPARATING LIGHT-BUT  
STEADY NORTHERLY BREEZES TO ITS NORTH, FROM LIGHT AND GENERALLY  
SOUTHERLY BREEZES TO ITS SOUTH. LOW TEMPS ARE ON TRACK TO BOTTOM  
OUT WITHIN A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 50 MOST AREAS (EXCEPT  
CLOSER TO 60 FAR SOUTHEAST AROUND MITCHELL COUNTY KS).  
 
- TODAY (THROUGH AROUND 6-7 PM):  
ALTHOUGH WE BRING IN SOME SMALL CHANCES (MAINLY 20-30%) FOR  
SPOTTY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON, ODDS STRONGLY  
FAVOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF OUR CWA STAYING RAIN-FREE THROUGH AT  
LEAST 6-7 PM. ALOFT, THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM  
THE CO AREA, CAUSING ANOTHER SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO TAKE  
SHAPE OVER MAINLY NORTHWEST KS BY LATE IN THE DAY. THE TRICKIEST  
PART OF TODAY'S FORECAST REALLY BOILS DOWN TO THE EXACT POSITION  
OF THE AFOREMENTIONED QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT, WHICH IS EXPECTED  
TO REMAIN VERY NEAR THE NE/KS BORDER THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY,  
BUT PERHAPS TRY LIFTING NORTH UP TOWARD HIGHWAY 6. TO THE NORTH  
OF THE FRONT, GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTERLY BREEZES 10-20 MPH  
WILL PREVAIL WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 70S-LOW 80S,  
WHILE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY, GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP  
(GUSTS EASILY 25-35 MPH ESPECIALLY IN KS), ALLOWING TEMPS TO  
SOAR INTO THE MID-UPPER 80S AND PROMOTING RESULTANT FIRE WEATHER  
CONCERNS.  
 
- THIS EVENING-OVERNIGHT:  
AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON, THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH/MID LEVEL CLOSED  
LOW WILL TRACK CLOSER, REACHING THE NE/KS/CO BORDER AREA BY  
SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. AT THE SURFACE, ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE CENTER  
WILL TRACK EASTWARD THROUGH OUR SOUTHERN CWA, REACHING ROUGHLY  
THE HEBRON AREA BY SUNRISE. AS THIS LOW TRACKS THROUGH, IT WILL  
KEEP THAT SAME GENERALLY WEST-EAST FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN PLACE  
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT, WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS PREVAILING  
OVER MOST OF OUR CWA TO ITS NORTH, AND SOUTHERLY BREEZES INTO AT  
LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE NIGHT IN OUR FAR SOUTH, BUT EVEN  
THERE EVENTUALLY TURNING MORE NORTHERLY/NORTHWESTERLY AS THE  
SURFACE LOW TRACKS EAST.  
 
IN TERMS OF CONVECTIVE/RAIN POTENTIAL, HIGH-RES MODELS SUCH AS  
FROM HRRR/NAMNEST CLEARLY KEEP THE MAIN THREAT FOR ANY SEVERE  
STORMS (ESPECIALLY SURFACE-BASED ONES) SLIGHTLY EAST-THROUGH-  
SOUTHEAST OF OUR CWA..MORE WITHIN THE MAIN LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY  
AXIS AND LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS. HOWEVER, THIS FORECASTER IS STILL  
A LITTLE CONCERNED THAT WE GET SEE A ROGUE STRONG TO MARGINALLY-  
SEVERE STORM OR TWO OVERNIGHT (LIKELY OF THE ELEVATED VARIETY),  
AS THE INCREASED LIFT FROM THE APPROACHING TROUGH INTERACTS  
WITH POCKETS OF AT LEAST 500-1000 J/KG ELEVATED CAPE (POSSIBLY  
UPWARD OF 1500 J/KG IN OUR FAR SOUTHEAST), IN THE PRESENCE OF  
VERY STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 60-70+KT. IN  
THEORY, ANY SPOTTY SEVERE IN OUR AREA WOULD FAVOR OUR EXTREME  
SOUTHEAST FRINGES (WHERE SPC DID INTRODUCE A MARGINAL RISK/LEVEL  
1), BUT FEEL THAT ALMOST ANYWHERE (EVEN OUR WEST) COULD SEE A  
ROGUE, MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL THREAT AS LIFT IMPINGES UPON THE  
ELEVATED INSTABILITY.  
 
ALL THAT BEING SAID, THE ACTUAL COVERAGE OF STORMS IN OUR CWA  
THIS EVENING-OVERNIGHT WILL BE ISOLATED-TO-SCATTERED AT BEST,  
AND THUS KEPT POPS FAIRLY MODEST.  
 
LOW TEMPS TONIGHT ARE AIMED FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THIS MORNING...MOST  
PLACES UPPER 40S-LOW 50S.  
 
- WEDNESDAY DAYTIME:  
OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY, THE MAIN UPPER LOW/TROUGH AXIS  
TRACKS DIRECTLY THROUGH THE HEART OF OUR CWA/GENERAL REGION FROM  
WEST-TO-EAST, REACHING THE IA/NE BORDER AREA BY SUNSET. AS THE  
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW TRACKS EAST IN TANDEM, OUR BREEZES WILL  
TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY AT GENERALLY 10-15 MPH WITH SOME  
HIGHER GUSTS. PRECIP/STORM-WISE, "IN THEORY" WE DO NOT HAVE A  
SEVERE THREAT, AND THE COVERAGE OF ANY SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD  
AGAIN BE ISOLATES/SCATTERED AT BEST. HOWEVER, POCKETS OF  
LINGERING INSTABILITY TO AT LEAST 500 J/KG, AIDED BY COOLING  
ALOFT FROM THE DEEP TROUGH PASSING OVERHEAD, HAVE BEEN KNOWN TO  
PRODUCE "SURPRISE" MARGINALLY-SEVERE STORMS WITH PERHAPS A HAIL  
THREAT OR EVEN A RANDOM FUNNEL CLOUD (PROBABLY NOT REACHING THE  
GROUND) IN THESE KIND OF SETUPS AROUND HERE, SO THAT PROBABLY  
CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT. KEPT MODEST POPS GOING ACROSS MUCH  
OF OUR CWA, BUT OVERALL-HIGHEST CHANCES CURRENTLY APPEAR TO  
FOCUS/NEAR NORTH OF I-80. ANY LINGERING ACTIVITY SHOULD DEPART  
OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES BY 5-7 PM.  
 
IN OTHER DEPARTMENTS, HIGH TEMPS WERE NUDGED DOWN SLIGHTLY...MOST  
PLACES AIMED BETWEEN 71-75 DEGREES.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026  
 
A DISCUSSION ON FIRE-WEATHER-SPECIFIC INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND  
IN THE FIRE SECTION BELOW.  
 
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR KEARNEY AT MID DAY WILL  
GRADUALLY DEVELOP NORTHEAST TOWARD ALBION THROUGH THIS  
AFTERNOON. WARM AND DRY AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS  
AFTERNOON. ONE THING TO WATCH THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE A LOW-END  
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP IN THE WRAPAROUND  
MOISTURE ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. WE MOST LIKELY  
SHOULD STAY PRECIPITATION FREE, BUT THERE'S ABOUT A 10% CHANCE  
FOR DEVELOPMENT IN FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREA  
AROUND 5 PM, AND A BETTER CHANCE FARTHER NORTH.  
 
AS WE GET INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND THE LOW PRESSURE MOVES  
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST, COOLER AND MOISTURE AIR WILL PUSH SOUTH  
INTO MANY OF OUR NEBRASKA COUNTIES WHILE NEW LOW PRESSURE  
DEVELOPS IN NORTHWEST KS. THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL IN THE  
VICINITY OF THE KS/NE BORDER AND HANG OUT IN THAT AREA ON  
TUESDAY. EXPECT A GOOD POOL OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IMMEDIATELY ON  
THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT WHILE AREAS TO THE SOUTH REMAIN WARM  
AND IN A DRY AIRMASS. WHILE A RIBBON OF INSTABILITY IS LIKELY TO  
DEVELOP NEAR/NORTH OF THE FRONT, THERE WILL BE A VERY STRONG CAP  
IN PLACE AND SURFACE BASED STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. AS WE GET A  
BIT DEEPER INTO THE EVENING, THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR  
INCREASED CONVERGENCE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY TO  
PROVIDE A SEMI-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR BREAKING THE CAP, BUT  
WOULD REQUIRE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND POOLING THROUGH  
A PRETTY GOOD DEPTH AND INTO THE WARM LAYER ALOFT. AS OF NOW,  
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM  
DEVELOPMENT, AND IF IT DOES HAPPEN WOULD STAND A BETTER CHANCE  
WITH EASTWARD EXTENT. FARTHER NORTH, CLOSER TO THE CORE OF A  
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WITH WEAKER CAP AND STRONGER FORCING, THERE  
IS A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP  
AND SKIRT ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES, BUT TRUTHFULLY THAT  
PRECIP POTENTIAL IS GREATER FARTHER TO THE NORTH. A FEW  
WRAPAROUND SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY, DEPENDING ON HOW  
QUICKLY THE SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. OVERALL, THIS SYSTEM  
DOES NOT LOOK PARTICULARLY RAINY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NE OR NORTH  
CENTRAL KS.  
 
AFTER A PERIOD OF MID LEVEL RIDGING ON THURSDAY, THERE IS GOOD  
MODEL AGREEMENT WITH HIGH PROBABILITY FOR A STRONG STORM SYSTEM  
TRACKING FROM COLORADO ACROSS KS/NE LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  
THIS HAS THE LOOK (AND THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE) OF A CLASSIC  
SPRING SYSTEM WITH THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE LOW, SNOW ON THE  
NORTHWEST QUADRANT, AND PLENTY OF WIND FOR EVERYONE. ANY SEVERE  
STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON TIMING OF THE  
STORM SYSTEM, AND CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST A HIGHER  
LIKELIHOOD OF SEVERE STORMS EAST OF THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA, SO  
WE'LL BE WATCHING POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO SLOW DOWN AND PULL  
BETTER MOISTURE BACK TO THE WEST. THE SNOW POTENTIAL WILL ALSO  
BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON THE STORM TRACK, AND RIGHT NOW THE  
GREATEST POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE NORTH OF THE LOCAL FORECAST  
AREA. WHERE IT DOES SNOW, IT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG  
WINDS, AND SO THIS TOO IS WORTH VERY CLOSELY MONITORING AS IT  
COULD MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY MORNING. AFTER THIS SYSTEM, SHOULD SEE A PERIOD OF  
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS WITH CALMER WEATHER OVERALL...AT  
LEAST INTO THE FIRST COUPLE DAYS OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026  
 
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:  
 
THE WIND FOR THE MOST PART SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT  
KEAR AND KGRI THROUGH THE EVENING WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS THIS  
AFTERNOON. EVENTUALLY THE WIND WILL BECOME NORTHERLY LATE  
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS SOUTH OF  
THE AREA. EVENTUALLY WE EXPECT BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BY  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AFTER THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES BY.  
 
THE PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN IS THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE  
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME BEING LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH  
AROUND THE NOON HOUR AS THE SURFACE LOW PASSES THROUGH. WILL  
CONTINUE WITH THE VFR CONDITIONS FOR NOW, BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT  
PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
ISSUED AT 520 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026  
 
- THIS AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING:  
UNLIKE YESTERDAY'S MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS THAT AFFECTED MOST OF OUR CWA, TODAY'S MAIN THREAT  
AREA WILL BE MORE FOCUSED NEAR AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE NE/KS  
BORDER...TO THE SOUTH OF A RELATIVELY SHARP, WEST- SOUTHWEST TO  
EAST- NORTHEAST ORIENTED QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT. SOUTH OF THIS  
FRONT, A HOT/DEEPLY MIXED AIRMASS WILL EXIST WITH TEMPS AT LEAST  
MID-UPPER 80S AND SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AT LEAST 25-35 MPH  
(40 MPH PROBABLY CANNOT BE RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN KS). GIVEN  
THESE WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH) EXPECTED TO CRASH DOWN  
BETWEEN 15-20%, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO  
DEVELOP. AS A RESULT, THE PREVIOUS FIRE WEATHER WATCH WAS  
"UPGRADED" TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR OUR 6 KS COUNTIES, AND WE  
ALSO TACKED ON MOST OF OUR ADJACENT NEBRASKA COUNTIES ALONG THE  
STATE LINE. AT LEAST NEAR-CRITICAL CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY  
HIGHER RH/SLIGHTLY LIGHTER WINDS WILL PROBABLY EXTEND ANOTHER  
1-2 COUNTIES NORTH OF THE WARNING (AT LEAST GETTING INTO SOME OF  
OUR HIGHWAY 6 COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA).  
 
- THURSDAY:  
FOLLOWING SOMEWHAT OF A BREAK IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON  
WEDNESDAY DUE TO SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS/LIGHTER WINDS, CONCERNS  
RETURN IN EARNEST ALREADY THURSDAY AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING AS  
HIGH TEMPERATURES AGAIN JUMP INTO AT LEAST THE LOW-MID 80S IN  
THE PRESENCE OF SOUTHERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AROUND 20 MPH/GUSTING  
AT LEAST 25 MPH (PROBABLY HIGHER). RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS  
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO FALL TO AS LOW AS 10-20% FOR MOST OF OUR  
CWA, MAKING THIS A DECENT CANDIDATE FOR OUR NEXT WARNING  
DAY...PARTICULARLY IN THE WESTERN HALF OF OUR AREA.  
 
FRIDAY-MONDAY:  
DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS AND THOSE ON  
THURSDAY, EACH OF THESE DAYS WILL LIKELY FEATURE AT LEAST  
LIMITED COVERAGE OF NEAR- CRITICAL CONDITIONS, WITH POCKETS OF  
OUTRIGHT- CRITICAL POSSIBLE. MORE DETAILS WILL BE PROVIDED AS  
THESE DAYS GET CLOSER IN TIME.  
 

 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NE...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR NEZ083>087.  
KS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ005>007-  
017>019.  
 

 
 

 
 
UPDATE...PFANNKUCH  
DISCUSSION...  
AVIATION...WESELY  
FIRE WEATHER...PFANNKUCH  
 
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