211
FXUS63 KGID 291957
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
257 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS (20-40%) AND A FEW NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING
INTO THE DAYTIME HOURS THURSDAY.
- THE CHANCE FOR FROST RETURNS TO THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS.
- WARMER (UPPER 60S-70S) AND DRY THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE
LOCAL AREA NEXT TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
AFTER A FOGGY START TO THE DAY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS, MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS CAN BE SEEN DEVELOPING ON
RADAR JUST TO THE WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA THE PAST FEW HOURS,
WITH ANY MORE CONVECTIVE LOOKING ACTIVITY SO FAR REMAINING
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY, EXPECT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
CROSSING THE ROCKIES TO HELP CONTINUE TO FIRE UP A FEW SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A WEAK THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA,
BUT WITH MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND ELEVATED LCL HEIGHTS, SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN SLIDE SOUTH
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, POTENTIALLY BRINGING A FEW
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR KANSAS
COUNTIES THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS THURSDAY. GIVEN THE SCATTERED
NATURE OF ACTIVITY DEPICTED IN THE CAMS, DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT OR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVING JUST A FEW
HUNDREDTHS TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL ON AVERAGE.
AS SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
EVENING, EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO NEAR OR POTENTIALLY
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING IN SPOTS, WITH WIDESPREAD FROST IN THE
FORECAST TO START THE DAY FRIDAY. WHILE CURRENTLY THERE IS NO
FOG IN THE FORECAST TO GO ALONG WITH THE FROST POTENTIAL, THIS
WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON AS DESPITE LOW PROBS IN THE
MODELS, THE SETUP (MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES/LIGHT WINDS AND ELEVATED
DEW POINTS) IS NOT THAT DISSIMILAR TO THIS MORNING WHEN DENSE
FOG DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.
A NEAR REPEAT OF FROSTY CONDITIONS IS THEN ANTICIPATED TO START
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO NUDGE INTO THE
AREA FROM THE WEST. AS THIS RIDGE TRANSITIONS EASTWARD, EXPECT A
NICE BUMP IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN
WIDESPREAD HIGHS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
THIS RIDGE THEN SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF WEAKNESS BY TUESDAY AS A
WEST COAST LOW MERGES WITH THE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO OUR
NORTH BRINGING BACK A CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS EARLY AS TUESDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
RELATIVELY HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED AT BOTH
TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL GIVE WAY TO
INCREASING MID-LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. EXPECT THE BULK OF
THIS DISTURBANCE TO PASS SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS DURING THE
EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS, WITH BKN CIGS AROUND 10 KFT BEING THE
MAIN IMPACT. THAT SAID, A FEW OF THE CAMS ARE INDICATING THAT A
FEW SHOWERS/-TSRAS COULD IMPACT THE TERMINALS BETWEEN ROUGHLY
30/01-31/06Z, AND WHILE NO MENTION WAS INCLUDED IN THE 18Z TAFS,
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF SOMETHING BRIEFLY CLIPPED EITHER
TERMINAL WITH NEAR MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE AT TIMES TONIGHT. THIS
DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE WELL SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS BY DAYBREAK
THURSDAY, WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING THURSDAY
MORNING ALONG WITH STEADY WESTERLY WINDS 12-16KTS AFT 30/13Z.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...ROSSI
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