297
FXUS63 KGID 300545
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1245 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS (20-40%) AND A FEW NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING
INTO THE DAYTIME HOURS THURSDAY.
- THE CHANCE FOR FROST RETURNS TO THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS.
- WARMER (UPPER 60S-70S) AND DRY THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE
LOCAL AREA NEXT TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
AFTER A FOGGY START TO THE DAY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS, MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS CAN BE SEEN DEVELOPING ON
RADAR JUST TO THE WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA THE PAST FEW HOURS,
WITH ANY MORE CONVECTIVE LOOKING ACTIVITY SO FAR REMAINING
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY, EXPECT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
CROSSING THE ROCKIES TO HELP CONTINUE TO FIRE UP A FEW SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A WEAK THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA,
BUT WITH MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND ELEVATED LCL HEIGHTS, SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN SLIDE SOUTH
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, POTENTIALLY BRINGING A FEW
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR KANSAS
COUNTIES THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS THURSDAY. GIVEN THE SCATTERED
NATURE OF ACTIVITY DEPICTED IN THE CAMS, DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT OR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVING JUST A FEW
HUNDREDTHS TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL ON AVERAGE.
AS SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
EVENING, EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO NEAR OR POTENTIALLY
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING IN SPOTS, WITH WIDESPREAD FROST IN THE
FORECAST TO START THE DAY FRIDAY. WHILE CURRENTLY THERE IS NO
FOG IN THE FORECAST TO GO ALONG WITH THE FROST POTENTIAL, THIS
WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON AS DESPITE LOW PROBS IN THE
MODELS, THE SETUP (MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES/LIGHT WINDS AND ELEVATED
DEW POINTS) IS NOT THAT DISSIMILAR TO THIS MORNING WHEN DENSE
FOG DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.
A NEAR REPEAT OF FROSTY CONDITIONS IS THEN ANTICIPATED TO START
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO NUDGE INTO THE
AREA FROM THE WEST. AS THIS RIDGE TRANSITIONS EASTWARD, EXPECT A
NICE BUMP IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN
WIDESPREAD HIGHS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
THIS RIDGE THEN SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF WEAKNESS BY TUESDAY AS A
WEST COAST LOW MERGES WITH THE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO OUR
NORTH BRINGING BACK A CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS EARLY AS TUESDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS AND A MIX OF MID TO HIGH CLOUDS MUCH OF
THE PERIOD. THE LOWEST CIGS MAY COME DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO
FORM OF SOME CU/STRATOCU BASED AROUND 3-4KFT. CAN'T RULE OUT A
SPRINKLE, OR TWO, EITHER...BUT SHOULDN'T AMOUNT TO MUCH. SKIES
WILL CLEAR OUT THURSDAY EVENING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND NOW
WILL GIVE WAY TO STEADY NW WIND THIS MORNING, SUSTAINED AROUND
8-12KT. WINDS WILL RETURN TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE THURSDAY EVE.
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM TO HIGH.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...THIES
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