437
FXUS63 KGID 301139
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
639 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE (15% TO 45% CHANCE)
LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING MAINLY FOR NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
- NEAR FREEZING TO JUST BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY
MORNING. FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP AREAWIDE.
- THERE IS A 15%-20% CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS/SPRINKLES ON
FRIDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
THERE ARE SOME REMAINING SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE/MOVE OUT OF THE AREA DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND MOSTLY VARIABLE. LOW
TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT INTO THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
MID 30S TO LOW/MID 40S. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOSTLY BE OUT OF
THE NORTH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID/UPPER 50S TO THE MID
60S. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY (15%-45% CHANCE) MOVE
ACROSS MAINLY NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY INTO THIS EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS WELL AS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES THESE TWO NIGHTS/MORNINGS
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID/UPPER 20S TO THE MID 30S WITH THE
2ND NIGHT BEING SLIGHTLY COLDER THAN THE 1ST. BOTH NIGHTS HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AREAWIDE. LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS/SPRINKLES MAY FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
FRIDAY (15%-20% CHANCE).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 227 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
AFTER A FOGGY START TO THE DAY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS, MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS CAN BE SEEN DEVELOPING ON
RADAR JUST TO THE WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA THE PAST FEW HOURS,
WITH ANY MORE CONVECTIVE LOOKING ACTIVITY SO FAR REMAINING
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY, EXPECT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
CROSSING THE ROCKIES TO HELP CONTINUE TO FIRE UP A FEW SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A WEAK THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA,
BUT WITH MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND ELEVATED LCL HEIGHTS, SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN SLIDE SOUTH
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, POTENTIALLY BRINGING A FEW
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR KANSAS
COUNTIES THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS THURSDAY. GIVEN THE SCATTERED
NATURE OF ACTIVITY DEPICTED IN THE CAMS, DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT OR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVING JUST A FEW
HUNDREDTHS TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL ON AVERAGE.
AS SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
EVENING, EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO NEAR OR POTENTIALLY
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING IN SPOTS, WITH WIDESPREAD FROST IN THE
FORECAST TO START THE DAY FRIDAY. WHILE CURRENTLY THERE IS NO
FOG IN THE FORECAST TO GO ALONG WITH THE FROST POTENTIAL, THIS
WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON AS DESPITE LOW PROBS IN THE
MODELS, THE SETUP (MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES/LIGHT WINDS AND ELEVATED
DEW POINTS) IS NOT THAT DISSIMILAR TO THIS MORNING WHEN DENSE
FOG DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.
A NEAR REPEAT OF FROSTY CONDITIONS IS THEN ANTICIPATED TO START
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO NUDGE INTO THE
AREA FROM THE WEST. AS THIS RIDGE TRANSITIONS EASTWARD, EXPECT A
NICE BUMP IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN
WIDESPREAD HIGHS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
THIS RIDGE THEN SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF WEAKNESS BY TUESDAY AS A
WEST COAST LOW MERGES WITH THE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO OUR
NORTH BRINGING BACK A CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS EARLY AS TUESDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE (20% OR LESS) THAT MVFR
CEILINGS WILL BRIEFLY IMPACT THE TERMINALS BETWEEN NOW AND 14Z.
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BY 15Z AND ARE EXPECTED TO MOSTLY
REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY. A WEST WIND IS
EXPECTED BY 09Z.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...SCHULDT
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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