359
FXUS63 KGID 022004
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
304 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND STORMS (SOME POSSIBLY STRONG) ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
- THERE IS A MARGINAL THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS ON WEDNESDAY
MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DURING THE EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
- VARIOUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE LOW TO MID 80S. FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOW 90S ARE EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 301 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH IS OVER SOUTHERN CANADA, NORTHERN ROCKY
MOUNTAINS, AND NORTHERN PLAINS. ANOTHER UPPER LOW/SHORTWAVE TROUGH
IS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ARE MOSTLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO
LOW/MID 80S. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND 10
PM. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE FROM KEARNEY TO SMITH CENTER. SOME STRONG STORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH FAIRLY LOW LAPSE
RATES AND WIND SHEAR. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 50S TO LOW/MID 60S. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT MAINLY
IMPACTING AREAS SOUTHWEST OF THE TRI-CITIES.
WINDS WILL MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. STORMS MAY AGAIN
DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS SHORTWAVES MOVE
OVER THE AREA. SURFACE CAPE VALUES OF AROUND 2,500 TO NEAR 3,500
J/KG ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. WIND SHEAR WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER
WEDNESDAY THAN TODAY WITH VALUES OF AROUND 25 TO 40 KNOTS. MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL BE BETWEEN 5.5 AND AROUND 7 DEGREES C/KM. THE
HIGHEST VALUES OF ALL THE ABOVE MENTIONED PARAMETERS WILL GENERALLY
BE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. AREAS GENERALLY
ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 ARE IN A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER PER THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER DAY 2 OUTLOOK. ANY SEVERE
DEVELOPMENT IS MAINLY EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING AND EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE SIMILAR OR
A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS NIGHT.
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THURSDAY WITH MORE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN THE PREVIOUS DAY SO WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. CANNOT OUT RULE AN ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM OR TWO. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL
GENERALLY BE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS. LOW
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE MID
50S TO MID 60S.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A WARMING TREND BEGINNING ON FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S. VARIOUS CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE PRESENT FRIDAY THROUGH
MONDAY AS TROUGHS PASS OVER/NEAR THE AREA. AT THIS TIME, SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL IS UNKNOWN BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS TIME
GETS CLOSER.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
THUNDERSTORMS MAY COME NEAR OR IMPACT KGRI THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO COME NEAR OR IMPACT
KEAR BUT DID NOT HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCLUDE THEM AT THIS
TIME. WINDS WILL MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. LOW CEILINGS
MAY IMPACT BOTH KEAR AND KGRI BEGINNING AROUND 06Z AND
CONTINUING THROUGH MOST, IF NOT ALL, OF THE MORNING HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY. DID NOT INCLUDE THE LOW CEILINGS AT THIS TIME DUE TO
LOW CONFIDENCE.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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