176
FXUS63 KGID 101902
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
202 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AFTER TODAY.
- INCREASING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH
MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 202 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
TODAY AND TONIGHT
THE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS MORNING ARE CONTINUALLY
WEAKENING AND MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON, AS THE REMNANTS OF A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX (MCV)
LOOSES ITS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. SOME MIDLEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL
LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT TAKES ITS SWEET TIME MOVING EAST AND
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS. DUE TO THIS LIMITED SOLAR
RADIATION REACHING THE SURFACE, HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
REMAIN COOL FOR JULY'S STANDARDS, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE
MID 80S.
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
AFTER TODAY, A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS, WITH 500MB HEIGHTS BETWEEN 570-600DM REACHING UP TO THE
US/CANADA BORDER. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND
TEMPERATURES TO STEADILY INCREASE UP INTO THE 90S BY MONDAY. HEAT
INDEX VALUES REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK,
AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FLOW FROM THE GULF LOOKS TO BE MORE LIMITED.
IN FACT, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (UP TO 20%) THAT HEAT INDEX VALUES
EXCEED 95 DEGREES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN GRIM THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WITH THE NEXT BEST CHANCE NEXT WEEKEND. HOWEVER, THERE IS A
FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE OVERARCHING SYNOPTIC PATTERN, WITH
SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THE PENETRATION OF A DIGGING TROUGH
(SUPPORTING A POSSIBLE BREAK FROM THE HEAT AND A CHANCE FOR
PRECIPTIATION) WHILE OTHER MODEL GUIDANCE MAINTAINS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE (SUPPORTING CONTINUED WARMING TEMPERATURES AND A GREATER
POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME HEAT).
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
CEILINGS HAVE LIFTED AND THE EXPECTATION IS THAT VFR CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF
PERIOD WITH DECREASING CLOUDS THIS EVENING. CAN NOT RULE OUT A
FEW MORE SPRINKLES AROUND KGRI THROUGH 3 PM GIVEN CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS WITH SPRINKLES STILL IN THE AREA. THE WIND WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AT LESS THAN 10 KTS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCOTT
AVIATION...WESELY
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