484
FXUS63 KGID 110528
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1228 AM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AFTER TODAY.
- INCREASING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH
MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 202 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
TODAY AND TONIGHT
THE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS MORNING ARE CONTINUALLY
WEAKENING AND MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON, AS THE REMNANTS OF A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX (MCV)
LOOSES ITS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. SOME MIDLEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL
LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT TAKES ITS SWEET TIME MOVING EAST AND
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS. DUE TO THIS LIMITED SOLAR
RADIATION REACHING THE SURFACE, HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
REMAIN COOL FOR JULY'S STANDARDS, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE
MID 80S.
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
AFTER TODAY, A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS, WITH 500MB HEIGHTS BETWEEN 570-600DM REACHING UP TO THE
US/CANADA BORDER. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND
TEMPERATURES TO STEADILY INCREASE UP INTO THE 90S BY MONDAY. HEAT
INDEX VALUES REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK,
AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FLOW FROM THE GULF LOOKS TO BE MORE LIMITED.
IN FACT, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (UP TO 20%) THAT HEAT INDEX VALUES
EXCEED 95 DEGREES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN GRIM THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WITH THE NEXT BEST CHANCE NEXT WEEKEND. HOWEVER, THERE IS A
FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE OVERARCHING SYNOPTIC PATTERN, WITH
SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THE PENETRATION OF A DIGGING TROUGH
(SUPPORTING A POSSIBLE BREAK FROM THE HEAT AND A CHANCE FOR
PRECIPTIATION) WHILE OTHER MODEL GUIDANCE MAINTAINS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE (SUPPORTING CONTINUED WARMING TEMPERATURES AND A GREATER
POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME HEAT).
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG HAS INCREASED FOR TONIGHT (60-90%) WITH
VISIBILITY JUST EAST OF THE AREA NOW BEGINNING TO DROP. A BANK
OF FOG IS EXPECTED TO THICKEN TONIGHT, SPREADING UP THE PLATTE RIVER
VALLEY. VISIBILITY AS LOW AS 1/2 TO 3 MILES MAY BE POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 7Z AND 14Z. SLIGHTLY LOWER VISIBILITIES AND LONGER FOG
RESIDENCE TIMES WILL BE EXPECTED AT KGRI COMPARED TO KEAR (THE
BETTER OVERALL FOG POTENTIAL WILL BE CONCENTRATED EAST).
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AFTER 14Z
WITH ONLY A FEW TO CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT ACROSS THE FULL PERIOD (GUSTS LESS THAN 15KTS) WITH ALMOST
CALM AND VARIABLE WINDS RETAINING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
LIGHT WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON SATURDAY (5-10KTS)
WILL SEE DIRECTIONS SETTLE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCOTT
AVIATION...STUMP
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