392
FXUS63 KGID 110611
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
111 AM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW WIDESPREAD OR DENSE IT
WILL BECOME.
- NO RAIN OR STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH FRIDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 109 AM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026
THE MAIN FEATURE OF SIGNIFICANCE IN THIS FORECAST IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS. SOME LOCATIONS
ARE ALREADY REPORTING REDUCED VISIBILITY. THE FACTORS SUPPORTING FOG
DEVELOPMENT ARE RECENT RAINFALL AND LIGHT WINDS. THERE IS SOME
HIGHER LEVEL CLOUD MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHICH MAY HINDER
FOG DEVELOPMENT A BIT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VARIABLE WHICH MAY
HELP OR HINDER FOG DEVELOPMENT DEPENDING ON WIND DIRECTION.
CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED IN CASE IF THE FOG BECOMES DENSE AND
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH FOR AN ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, LOW
TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO
THE MID 60S. SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID/UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S. WINDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON WILL MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST GENERALLY BETWEEN 5 TO
10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15 MPH ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE MID 60S WITH
LIGHT SOUTH TO EAST WINDS.
NO SHOWERS OR STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY). HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A VERY GRADUAL
WARMING TREND THROUGH FRIDAY WITH HIGHS ON FRIDAY IN THE MID 90S TO
NEAR 100 DEGREES. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 60S EACH
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN WILL WARM UP INTO
MAINLY THE 70S THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 202 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
TODAY AND TONIGHT
THE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS MORNING ARE CONTINUALLY
WEAKENING AND MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON, AS THE REMNANTS OF A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX (MCV)
LOOSES ITS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. SOME MIDLEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL
LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT TAKES ITS SWEET TIME MOVING EAST AND
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS. DUE TO THIS LIMITED SOLAR
RADIATION REACHING THE SURFACE, HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
REMAIN COOL FOR JULY'S STANDARDS, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE
MID 80S.
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
AFTER TODAY, A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS, WITH 500MB HEIGHTS BETWEEN 570-600DM REACHING UP TO THE
US/CANADA BORDER. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND
TEMPERATURES TO STEADILY INCREASE UP INTO THE 90S BY MONDAY. HEAT
INDEX VALUES REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK,
AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FLOW FROM THE GULF LOOKS TO BE MORE LIMITED.
IN FACT, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (UP TO 20%) THAT HEAT INDEX VALUES
EXCEED 95 DEGREES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN GRIM THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WITH THE NEXT BEST CHANCE NEXT WEEKEND. HOWEVER, THERE IS A
FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE OVERARCHING SYNOPTIC PATTERN, WITH
SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THE PENETRATION OF A DIGGING TROUGH
(SUPPORTING A POSSIBLE BREAK FROM THE HEAT AND A CHANCE FOR
PRECIPTIATION) WHILE OTHER MODEL GUIDANCE MAINTAINS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE (SUPPORTING CONTINUED WARMING TEMPERATURES AND A GREATER
POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME HEAT).
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG HAS INCREASED FOR TONIGHT (60-90%) WITH
VISIBILITY JUST EAST OF THE AREA NOW BEGINNING TO DROP. A BANK
OF FOG IS EXPECTED TO THICKEN TONIGHT, SPREADING UP THE PLATTE RIVER
VALLEY. VISIBILITY AS LOW AS 1/2 TO 3 MILES MAY BE POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 7Z AND 14Z. SLIGHTLY LOWER VISIBILITIES AND LONGER FOG
RESIDENCE TIMES WILL BE EXPECTED AT KGRI COMPARED TO KEAR (THE
BETTER OVERALL FOG POTENTIAL WILL BE CONCENTRATED EAST).
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AFTER 14Z
WITH ONLY A FEW TO CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT ACROSS THE FULL PERIOD (GUSTS LESS THAN 15KTS) WITH ALMOST
CALM AND VARIABLE WINDS RETAINING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
LIGHT WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON SATURDAY (5-10KTS)
WILL SEE DIRECTIONS SETTLE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...SCHULDT
DISCUSSION...SCOTT
AVIATION...STUMP
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