506
FXUS63 KGID 121130
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
630 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THERE IS ABOUT A 30% CHANCE OF FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT.
WIDESPREAD, DENSE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.
- NO RAIN OR STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.
- HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOW TRIPLE DIGITS
FOR SOME AREAS LATE IN THE WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 125 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026
THERE IS ABOUT A 30% CHANCE OF FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT INTO THE
MORNING HOURS. IF FOG DOES DEVELOP, IT ISN'T EXPECTED TO BE AS
WIDESPREAD OR DENSE AS IT WAS YESTERDAY MORNING. THE EXPECTED
CONDITIONS SUPPORTING FOG DEVELOPMENT ARE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS; ALTHOUGH, WINDS WILL NOT LIKELY BE QUITE AS CALM/LIGHT AS
THEY WERE YESTERDAY MORNING. ALSO, MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE NOT AS
FAVORABLE FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT AS THEY WERE YESTERDAY MORNING.
LOW TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS WILL BE IN THE 60S
WITH LIGHT SOUTH TO EAST WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN
THE MID/UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL
MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH. TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WARM UP THROUGH THE WEEK WITH HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S LATE IN THE WEEK. HEAT INDEX VALUES LATE IN
THE WEEK ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOW TRIPLE DIGITS FOR SOME AREAS.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WHOLE FORECAST TIME (TODAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 233 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026
THIS IS ABOUT AS QUIET OF A WEATHER PATTERN AS YOU WILL SEE WITH
A SIGNIFICANT 500 MB UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF 590-600DM, WHICH IS
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH EVEN FOR JULY. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND THEN
GRADUALLY RECENTER FURTHER SOUTH OVER NEBRASKA FOR MOST OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO EVEN SEE MUCH IN
THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD SO EXPECT SUNNY,
HOT, AND DRY WEATHER TO PREVAIL ALL WEEK.
FORECAST MODELS ARE INDICATING LOWER DEWPOINTS THAN WE WOULD
TYPICALLY EXPECT THIS TIME OF YEAR (AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS AROUND
60 LATER THIS WEEK). MODEL DEWPOINTS TODAY HAVE BEEN A BIT TOO
LOW AND AM WONDERING IF THAT MODEL BIAS WILL REMAIN THE CASE
THIS WEEK GIVEN THE SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD CROP
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION. IF OUR DEWPOINTS END UP BEING A LITTLE BIT
HIGHER, THAT WILL ALSO PUSH OUR HEAT INDEX VALUES HIGHER AS
WELL. CONSEQUENTLY, WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF OUR CURRENTLY
FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES (LOWER TO MID 90S MOST OF THE WEEK)
END UP BEING A BIT MORE UNCOMFORTABLE THAN CURRENTLY ADVERTISED.
AT THIS POINT GIVEN NO EXPECTED PRECIPITATION, THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERN WILL BE MONITORING THE RISING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IF THE FOG WILL IMPACT KGRI AND KEAR.
KGRI IS THE MOST LIKELY TERMINAL TO BE IMPACTED. ANY FOG IS
EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY 18Z AND
WILL INCREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON (UP TO AROUND 10 KNOTS). WINDS
WILL WEAKEN BY 03Z AND BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY BY 12Z MONDAY.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...SCHULDT
DISCUSSION...WESELY
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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