320
FXUS63 KGID 252025
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
325 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CLIP WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING. A SLIGHT RISK FOR A SEVERE STORM
OR TWO REMAINS, MAINLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE
EXTENDING FROM LEXINGTON, NEBRASKA TO OSBORNE, KANSAS.
- SPOTTY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND (ALTHOUGH MANY AREAS WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY), WITH
INCREASING STORM CHANCES AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING OFF AND ON AT TIMES NEXT WEEK.
- WIDESPREAD ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK AND THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH NOTICABLY MORE
BREEZY CONDITIONS BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTED MAINLY WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING, WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES RETURNING TO MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON. AS
SKIES CLEARED, TEMPERATURES CLIMBED, AND MOST AREAS HAVE REACHED
THE MID TO UPPER 80S OVER THE PAST HOUR. FOR TONIGHT, EXPECT
ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION TO IMPACT PARTS OF THE
LOCAL AREA, FOCUSED MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183. WITH EACH
HOURLY MODEL RUN OF THE CAMS PULLING BACK THE BEST CHANCES FOR
CONVECTION TO OUR WEST, CONFIDENCE IN STORMS IS NOT
PARTICULARLY HIGH, AND TRIMMED BACK POPS SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THIS
EVENING. THAT SAID, THE INGREDIENTS REMAIN IN PLACE FOR A FEW
SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH IF REALIZED, THEY WILL LIKELY
BE LIMITED TO OUR WESTERNMOST AREAS (WHERE THE SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS FROM THE SPC).
BEHIND TONIGHTS POTENTIAL CONVECTION, THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO
OUR WEST BEGINS TO BECOME POSITIVELY TILTED AS IT EXPANDS ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MORE SPOTTY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY, MAINLY FOCUSED
ACROSS WESTERN AND POTENTIALLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS EACH DAY. AT THE SAME
TIME, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE, PEAKING ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS COULD RESULT IN HEAT
INDEX VALUES ONCE AGAIN CLIMBING ABOVE 100 DEGREES IN SPOTS,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. AT THE SAME
TIME WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE, AND EXPECT A BREEZY END TO
THE WEEK AND START TO THE WEEKEND AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE
ROCKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST.
EVENTUALLY THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT
EAST LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK, USHERING IN
SLIGHTLY MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH INCREASING
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT,
AND THEN CONTINUING OFF AND ON THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO A MORE PROGRESSIVE WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW PATTERN BEING REALIZED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A
SMALL CHANCE FOR A -TSRA THIS EVENING AT KEAR AS THE NEXT ROUND
OF HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION TRACKS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA.
WINDS OVERALL, WILL BE LIGHT AND LESS THAN 12 KTS, STRUGGLING TO
FIND DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON (HENCE THE VRB05KT). MODELS
INDICATE MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ACCOMPANY CONVECTION THIS
EVENING, AND HAVE A BKN150 GROUP AT BOTH TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY NORTHERLY BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY AS
SKIES CLEAR, BUT REMAIN LIGHT, AT LESS THAN 12 KTS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...ROSSI
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