126
FXUS63 KGID 252334
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
634 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CLIP WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING. A SLIGHT RISK FOR A SEVERE STORM
OR TWO REMAINS, MAINLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE
EXTENDING FROM LEXINGTON, NEBRASKA TO OSBORNE, KANSAS.
- SPOTTY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND (ALTHOUGH MANY AREAS WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY), WITH
INCREASING STORM CHANCES AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING OFF AND ON AT TIMES NEXT WEEK.
- WIDESPREAD ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK AND THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH NOTICABLY MORE
BREEZY CONDITIONS BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTED MAINLY WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING, WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES RETURNING TO MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON. AS
SKIES CLEARED, TEMPERATURES CLIMBED, AND MOST AREAS HAVE REACHED
THE MID TO UPPER 80S OVER THE PAST HOUR. FOR TONIGHT, EXPECT
ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION TO IMPACT PARTS OF THE
LOCAL AREA, FOCUSED MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183. WITH EACH
HOURLY MODEL RUN OF THE CAMS PULLING BACK THE BEST CHANCES FOR
CONVECTION TO OUR WEST, CONFIDENCE IN STORMS IS NOT
PARTICULARLY HIGH, AND TRIMMED BACK POPS SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THIS
EVENING. THAT SAID, THE INGREDIENTS REMAIN IN PLACE FOR A FEW
SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH IF REALIZED, THEY WILL LIKELY
BE LIMITED TO OUR WESTERNMOST AREAS (WHERE THE SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS FROM THE SPC).
BEHIND TONIGHTS POTENTIAL CONVECTION, THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO
OUR WEST BEGINS TO BECOME POSITIVELY TILTED AS IT EXPANDS ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MORE SPOTTY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY, MAINLY FOCUSED
ACROSS WESTERN AND POTENTIALLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS EACH DAY. AT THE SAME
TIME, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE, PEAKING ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS COULD RESULT IN HEAT
INDEX VALUES ONCE AGAIN CLIMBING ABOVE 100 DEGREES IN SPOTS,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. AT THE SAME
TIME WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE, AND EXPECT A BREEZY END TO
THE WEEK AND START TO THE WEEKEND AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE
ROCKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST.
EVENTUALLY THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT
EAST LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK, USHERING IN
SLIGHTLY MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH INCREASING
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT,
AND THEN CONTINUING OFF AND ON THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO A MORE PROGRESSIVE WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW PATTERN BEING REALIZED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS TAF PERIOD. BASED ON
RECENT RUNS OF HI-RES MODELS...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
LATER THIS EVENING IMPACTING EITHER TERMINAL SITE HAVE LOWERED
ENOUGH/REMAIN FAR ENOUGH WEST THAT IT WAS DECIDED TO REMOVE THE
MENTION FROM THE TAF. WILL OBVIOUSLY BE KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON
HOW ACTIVITY CURRENTLY ONGOING OFF TO THE WEST EVOLVES IN THE
COMING HOURS. WINDS THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
LOOKING TO BE LIGHT/VARIABLE...TURNING TO THE NNE AFTER SUNRISE
WEDNESDAY, STILL LIGHT AROUND 10-15 MPH THROUGH THE DAYTIME
HOURS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...ADP
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