531
FXUS63 KGID 290540
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1240 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS MAY MOVE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
- THERE IS A 15% CHANCE SOME OF THESE STORMS THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT WILL BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE.
- THE HEAT INCREASES THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
90S TO NEAR 104 DEGREES. HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO
NEAR 105 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.
- A SLIGHT DECREASE IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED BEGINNING MONDAY
WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 80S TO 100 DEGREES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NEW MEXICO TO NEBRASKA. WINDS ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AT AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID 80S
TO MID 90S. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE
AREA FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD
TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED; HOWEVER, AN
ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE (15%
CHANCE). THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF
HIGHWAY 183. WIND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 60 MPH AND HAIL WILL BE THE
MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN
THE 70S WITH WINDS NOT WEAKENING MUCH, IF ANY, FROM THE DAYTIME.
SKIES TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WHICH WILL
ALSO AID IN PREVENTING FURTHER COOLING OF TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE FURTHER EAST ON SATURDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
EDGE EXTENDING TO NEBRASKA. THIS WILL ALLOW A SURFACE TROUGH TO THE
WEST (ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA AND EASTERN COLORADO) TO EXPAND
FURTHER EAST. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO HEAT
UP INTO THE MID 90S TO NEAR 105 DEGREES ON SATURDAY. HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S TO 105 DEGREES.
ISOLATED AREAS IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND PERHAPS IN FAR SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY TO HAVE TEMPERATURES AND/OR HEAT
INDEX VALUES NEAR OR AT 105 DEGREES. SHOWERS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MAY MOVE ACROSS MAINLY WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY NIGHT ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TO AROUND 80 DEGREES ACROSS
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AND PERHAPS INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO THOSE ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER,
PORTIONS OF THE AREA ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH ON SUNDAY MAY BE
A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN THE PREVIOUS DAY WITH INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AND POSSIBLE DEVELOPING SHOWERS DUE TO A SHORTWAVE
PASSING OVER THE AREA. HEAT INDEX VALUES ON SUNDAY MAY APPROACH OR
REACH 105 DEGREES FOR ISOLATED LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS, ESPECIALLY ROOKS, OSBORNE, AND MITCHELL COUNTIES. A PASSING
SHORTWAVE AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MAY BRING SHOWERS AND STORMS
TO MAINLY WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY
EVENING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (20%) THAT SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE IF THERE IS
ENOUGH ELEVATED CAPE AND SUFFICIENT LIFT. LOW TEMPERATURES SUNDAY
NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S TO MID/UPPER 70S.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE EARLY TO
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS EASTWARD SHIFT OF THE RIDGE WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO TEMPERATURES COOLING SLIGHTLY (MID 80S TO 100 DEGREES)
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. IT WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO VARIOUS CHANCES
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
ONGOING LLWS OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WILL BE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH 14Z THIS MORNING AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET
PERSIST OVERNIGHT. LLWS HAS A 50-70% CHANCE OF RETURNING AFTER
4Z THE FOLLOWING NIGHT.
AN ISOLATED STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE IN THE KEAR VICINITY
BETWEEN 8-9Z AS WELL AS THE KGRI VICINITY BETWEEN 9-10Z. THOUGH
THE STRONGEST PART OF THE STORM IS CURRENTLY ON TRACK TO PASS
NORTH OF BOTH TERMINALS, A GUST AS HIGH AS 40KTS OUT OF THE
WEST WITH A BRIEF REDUCTION OF VISIBILITY CAN'T BE FULLY RULED
OUT.
DESPITE BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES REMAINING OVERTOP TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING, IT IS UNLIKELY FOR SUB-VFR CEILINGS TO
MATERIALIZE (20-30% CHANCE).
WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH BETWEEN 10-15KTS THROUGH THE MORNING
COULD OCCASIONALLY GUSTS AS HIGH 20-30KTS. WINDS SPEEDS AND
GUSTS SHOULD LIGHTEN SOME DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
(<15KTS).
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...STUMP
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