331
FXUS63 KGID 310540
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1240 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO PARTS OF THE AREA
DURING THE LATE EVENING-OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD BE STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 183.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S. NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S.
- OFF AND ON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED EACH
DAY...MAINLY DURING THE EVENING THROUGH OVERNIGHT HOURS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 242 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2026
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE OBSERVED
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN, CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO INITIATE ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND MOVE INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS BY EVENING, BRINGING ANOTHER (20-30%) CHANCE FOR
NOCTURNAL CONVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL AREA. WHILE NOT
EVERYONE WILL SEE PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT, MOST OF THE CAMS ARE
INDICATING THIS HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION WILL REACH THE LOCAL
AREA LATE THIS EVENING, WEAKENING AS IT CROSSES THE REGION.
GIVEN THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY, A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
AREAS MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183, WITH 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS
BEING THE MAIN CONCERN.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE BROADER WEATHER PATTERN, HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL TRANSITION INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY TO START NEXT WEEK, RESULTING IN A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
PATTERN ALOFT CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS
PATTERN WILL BRING DAILY WEAK DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE LOCAL
AREA DURING THE EVENING/NIGHTTIME HOURS, ORIGINATING ACROSS THE
ROCKIES AND TRACKING EASTWARD EACH EVENING. WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL NOT BE DIRECTLY OVER THE AREA, HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SEVERAL DEGREES (3-8 DEGREES) ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK.
LATE IN THE PERIOD, BOTH THE GFS/EC INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL REBUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND
AMPLIFY NEXT WEEKEND AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MEANDERS ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TRACKS NORTH
ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THIS SHOULD DIMINISH STORM CHANCES
NEXT WEEKEND WHILE ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE FURTHER
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT RELIEF (TEMPERATURE
WISE) FORESEEN OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT 10 DAYS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
A FEW SCATTERED STORMS MAY PASS IN AND OUT OF THE KEAR/KGRI
VICINITY TONIGHT BETWEEN MAINLY 8Z AND 12Z. THOUGH THE POTENTIAL
IS NOT COMPLETELY ZERO FOR A STRONGER STORM OR TWO TO DEVELOP,
THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY
MINIMAL. WIND DIRECTIONS WILL BE EXPECTED TO BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF SUCH STORMS. WINDS WILL
NOT BE EXPECTED TO PEAK MORE THAN 10-15KTS FOR THE NIGHT OR DAY.
CEILINGS WITH THESE STORMS ARE NOT LIKELY TO DROP INTO MVFR
CATEGORIES (20-30% CHANCE), ESPECIALLY NOT FOR LONGER THAN 30
MINUTES TO AN HOUR. BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES WILL BREAK APART OR
MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY THE AFTERNOON WITH YET ANOTHER DECK OF
MID-LEVEL STRATUS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN OVERNIGHT MONDAY.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...STUMP
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