519
FXUS63 KGID 091751
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1251 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN
ROOKS/OSBORNE/MITCHELL COUNTIES THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
- ISOLATED-SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
FRIDAY EVENING/NIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG/SEVERE.
- ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH OFF AND ON
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE LARGELY COME TO AN END ACROSS THE AREA,
THOUGH ISOLATED ACTIVITY CAN'T BE RULED OUT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. FURTHER NORTHWEST LINGERING STRATUS IS FAVORED
TO GRADUALLY CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING HOURS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT ALONG/NORTH OF A COLD FRONT IN
KANSAS COULD CLIP SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ROOKS/OSBORNE/MITCHELL
COUNTIES DURING THE LATE EVENING-EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. OTHERWISE
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
THURSDAY...
LARGELY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. ON
THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR THEIR CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS, IN THE
LOW 80S. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 20-30MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. OVERALL A
FAIRLY PLEASANT SEPTEMBER DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE AREA.
FRIDAY...
TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S-LOW 90S ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE BREEZY DURING
THE DAY, GUSTING 25-30MPH, STRONGEST FOR AREAS NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-
CITIES. THE BREEZY SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO HELP TO ADVECT MOISTURE
INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WITH DEWPOINTS
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 60S-LOW 70S. ISOLATED-SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE EVENING-OVERNIGHT HOURS
ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY HOW FAR SOUTH
STORMS WILL BE ABLE TO DEVELOP GIVEN WEAKER FORCING (FRONT
FURTHER FROM SURFACE LOW) AND STRONGER CAPPING. STILL, AT LEAST
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. IF STORMS DO
FORM, 2000+ J/KG OF CAPE AND 30KTS OF SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
INTO THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH WINDS BECOMING
NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT.
THIS WEEKEND ONWARDS...
THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT LOOKS TO STALL OUT ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. NORTH OF THE FRONT,
COOLER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S SOUTH OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG/NORTH OF THE FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS ON
SATURDAY, SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG-SEVERE THOUGH IMPACTS REMAIN
UNCERTAIN GIVEN SPREAD IN MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE
FRONT. OFF AND ON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES MOVE THORUGH THE
AREA. HIGHS WILL VARY, RANGING FROM THE LOW 70S TO THE LOW 90S
DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF FRONTAL PASSAGES.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
SCT-BKN MVFR STRATUS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 20Z, WITH SKIES
GRADUALLY CLEARING OVER TIME. HAVE A TEMPO GROUP AT BOTH
KGRI/KEAR TO ACCOUNT FOR BOUNCING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR. ONCE
MVFR STRATUS CLEARS, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10KTS BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE TAF
PERIOD. FEW-SCT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT-
THURSDAY MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DAVIS
AVIATION...DAVIS
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