669
FXUS63 KGID 051139
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
639 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY, SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15
TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL BE IN THE 70S AND
80S WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S.
- THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS OF PRECIPITATION ANYTIME FROM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO NEXT MONDAY (LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE).
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 149 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
CURRENTLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS, WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. SKIES ARE CLEAR WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S OVERNIGHT
INTO SUNRISE. WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH TODAY WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF BETWEEN 10 TO 25 MPH EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS UP TO AROUND 35 MPH ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL GENERALLY INCREASE TO THE NORTH AND WEST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A DECREASE IN WIND SPEED IS
EXPECTED THIS EVENING (AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH). HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING INTO THE 50S
AREAWIDE.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM UP INTO THE 80S AREAWIDE ON
TUESDAY BEFORE A SLIGHT COOL DOWN ON WEDNESDAY. EVEN COOLER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S AND 80S FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 50S AND 60S. SOME OF THE
MODELS ARE SHOWING PRECIPITATION AROUND THE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO
FRIDAY MORNING TIMEFRAME (MODERATE CONFIDENCE) AND AGAIN AROUND
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING (LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 317 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
TEMPERATURES EXCEEDED EXPECTATIONS AGAIN TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S AS OF 3PM. WINDS REMAIN
LIGHT THROUGH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ONCE
AGAIN DIP INTO THE 40S IN MANY LOCATIONS, AND THIS LOOKS TO BE
THE COOLEST NIGHT WE WILL SEE OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.
AFTER A RELATIVELY COOL START MONDAY, TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONCE
AGAIN RETURN TO THE 70S (POSSIBLY PUSHING 80 DEGREES IN THE
WEST). THIS WARMUP WILL BE AIDED BY INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS.
AFTERNOON GUSTS COULD EXCEED 30 MPH IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO ADVECT
HIGHER DEWPOINTS INTO THE AREA, THEREFORE OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE
ONLY EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE 50S THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK
WEEK.
TUESDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK, AND THIS WILL
FEEL ESPECIALLY TRUE AS WINDS DECREASE WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A
SURFACE TROUGH. RAW MODEL OUTPUT (AND THE NBM) HAS BEEN
STRUGGLING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THIS TRANSITION. IN GENERAL,
THE "OLD SCHOOL" MOS GUIDANCE HAS BEEN MORE RELIABLE AS OF LATE,
AND IT IS SUGGESTING WIDESPREAD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S
TUESDAY. THIS ISN'T RECORD- BREAKING TERRITORY, BUT IT IS STILL
A SOLID 10+ DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
A WEAK COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WILL KNOCK DOWN
TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. ENSEMBLES
HINT AT A LOW RAIN POTENTIAL IN THE THURSDAY TIMEFRAME AS WELL,
BUT PROBABILITIES ON THE LATEST NBM REMAIN BELOW 10%. THERE IS
MORE ENSEMBLE SUPPORT FOR RAIN IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY
TIMEFRAME, ALTHOUGH THIS OBVIOUSLY REMAINS VERY UNCERTAIN AT
THIS RANGE.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 634 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
UP TO AROUND 25 KNOTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME THIS EVENING
THEN WILL TURN MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST BY 12Z TUESDAY. THERE
IS A CHANCE OF WIND SHEAR AROUND 07Z TO 10Z FOR KGRI BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AT THIS POINT. ALSO, LOW
CEILINGS MAY IMPACT KEAR FROM 06Z TO 12Z.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...SCHULDT
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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