692
FXUS63 KGID 101934
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
234 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON. NORMAL MAX TEMPS
ARE IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS TODAY ARE NEAR 90 DEGREES.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE A
COOLER AIRMASS MOVES IN ON TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO
LOW 90S EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
- COOLDOWN TO NEAR NORMAL AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE
(50% CHANCE) FOR MID-WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 234 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
THIS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE WELL INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE
AREA, WITH SOME LOCATIONS IN KANSAS AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS
EXCEEDING 90 DEGREES. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR THEIR MAX, BUT
RECORDS AT GRAND ISLAND AND HASTINGS ARE GOING TO BE CLOSE. THE
CURRENT RECORD FOR THE MAX TEMPERATURE TODAY IS 90 DEGREES AT
BOTH LOCATIONS. AS OF 2PM - GRAND ISLAND AND HASTINGS HAVE HIT
88 AND 86 RESPECTIVELY.
THROUGH MONDAY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE THE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ARE EXPECTED.
NORMAL MAX TEMPERATURES FOR MID OCTOBER ARE IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AS A STATIONARY FRONT
REMAINS TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE
STATIONARY FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD ON MONDAY AND THAT BRINGS A
BIT OF UNCERTAINTY ON EXACT REACH OF THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS, BUT
OVERALL OUTCOME IS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. LATER MONDAY, THE FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD AS THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD AND
PUSHES THE COOLER AIRMASS FURTHER SOUTH. ONCE THIS TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED DISTURBANCES MOVE INTO THE AREA, THE UPPER TROUGH
STALLS AND MAX TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE AS THIS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. WHILE THERE ARE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ON
MONDAY, THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE BETWEEN TUESDAY AND THURSDAY.
THERE ARE DISCREPANCIES AMONG THE THE GUIDANCE ON HOW THIS UPPER
LOW TO OUR WEST WILL EVOLVE, WITH SOME SOLUTIONS SHOWING THE LOW
BECOMING CUT OFF, AND OTHERS HAVING IT BEING PICKED UP THE MAIN
FLOW AND TRAVERSING OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL IMPACT THE TIMING
OF ANY PRECIPITATION. THE BEST LOCATION FOR PRECIPITATION WILL
BE CLOSER TO THE FRONT, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS
KANSAS. THIS GIVES OUR NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS COUNTIES AND
LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-80 THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION, WITH THE MOST SOUTHERN LOCATIONS HAVING THE BEST
CHANCE FOR AMOUNTS OF 1-3 INCHES. SIMILAR TO THE PRECIPITATION
EVENT THAT OCCURRED NEAR THE START OF THE MONTH, THERE WILL
LIKELY BE BANDS OF HIGHER PRECIPITATION AND IDENTIFYING EXACTLY
WHERE THOSE WILL SET UP, IF EVEN IN OUR AREA, WILL BE DIFFICULT
AND SOMETHING TO WATCH.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH CLEAR
SKIES UNTIL A FEW UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE IN AFTER DAWN ON
SUNDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THIS AFTERNOON
(SUSTAINED OF 20+ KTS WITH GUSTS OF 30+ KTS), BUT REMAIN
RELATIVELY STRONG TONIGHT (SUSTAINED 10 - 15 KTS, GUSTS OF 20+
KTS). LLWS UP TO 45 KTS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. LLWS IS LIKELY TO
SET IN ABOUT AN HOUR EARLIER AT KGRI, AND LAST ABOUT AN HOUR OR
SO LONGER FOR KGRI SUNDAY MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BILLINGS WRIGHT
AVIATION...BEGAN
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