192
FXUS61 KGYX 271805
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
205 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2025
SYNOPSIS
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS
AROUND. WE SHOULD DRY OUT MIDWEEK WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES
RETURNING BY THE END OF THE WEEK. OUR BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
ARRIVE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A BAND OF RAIN IS FORECAST MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION AND BRING A GOOD SOAKING. EXACTLY HOW MUCH
RAIN IS UNCERTAIN RIGHT NOW, BUT MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE
MEASURABLE RAINFALL.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN TO OUR EAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE
BAY OF FUNDY AS CYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS THROUGH THE NEAR TERM. THIS
PATTERN SHOULD LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
SHOWERS. CHANCES SHOULD START TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS WE LOSE
DIURNAL HEATING.
OVERNIGHT, THE UPPER LOW MEANDERS DOWN INTO THE GULF OF MAINE AND
THEN FINALLY EAST OUT INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC. WE MAY START TO
SEE SOME CLEARING OVERNIGHT AND LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 20S TO THE UPPER 30S. VALLEY FOG IS POSSIBLE WITH THE
LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE, BUT WILL LEAVE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST
FOR NOW AS THE CLOUD SITUATION WILL BE SIMILAR IN THE VALLEYS
AS LAST NIGHT, WHICH SAW LITTLE FOG. NORTHERLY WINDS OFF THE
COAST WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH SUSTAINED
VALUES UP TO 20 KNOTS AND GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 30 KNOT RANGE BY
TUESDAY MORNING OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
THE UPPER LOW FINALLY MOVES WELL OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC ON TUESDAY AS
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO NUDGE IN. SKIES SHOULD BE CLEARING
FOR MOST OF THE AREA BUT WE COULD SEE AT LEAST SOME MID TO HIGH
CLOUDS HANGING ON AROUND COASTAL AND/OR MOUNTAIN AREAS. THE RECENT
DAILY SHOWER CHANCES SHOULD ALSO COME TO AN END WITH THE LOW
MOVING OUT TO SEA. HIGHS WILL BE JUST A TOUCH WARMER, RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TO THE 50S
ELSEWHERE. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE A TOUCH COOLER, FROM THE
LOW TO MID 20S NORTH AND IN THE MOUNTAINS, TO THE 30S
ELSEWHERE.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
WEDNESDAY, A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN-HALF OF THE US WILL
START TO TO TILT NEGATIVELY AND MOVE EASTWARD. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR A SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHEAST US LATER ON IN
THE DAY. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH SHOULD KEEP MOST PLACES DRY
ON WEDNESDAY, THOUGH A SHOWER CAN'T BE RULED OUT ALONG THE
COAST.
THIS LOW WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE NORTHWARD, ARRIVING IN THE
NORTHEAST BY THURSDAY. THE LOW SHOULD BRING A COLD FRONT INTO THE
AREA, WITH HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD
MOVE PROGRESSIVELY AND WILL LIKELY BE OUT OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER, THE PARENT LOW IS FORECAST TO OCCLUDE, BRINGING
WRAPAROUND PRECIPITATION NORTH OF THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. THE DEEPENING UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVERHEAD MAY ALLOW FOR
BLUSTERY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AS WELL, WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS ON
FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY BECOMING GUSTY ON SATURDAY AS WELL. GUSTY WINDS
LOOK TO SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK FAIRLY STEADY
THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S, THROUGH TEMPERATURES COULD
GET INTO THE LOWER 60S ON FRIDAY.
AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SHORT TERM...LOW VFR AND A FEW MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO
HANG AROUND THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. CONDITIONS
SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM, BUT SOME LOWER
CLOUDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AND MORE
SUBSTANTIAL CLEARING ON TUESDAY. AN ISOLATED SHOWER WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING, BUT TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AT THE MOMENT TO ADD MENTION AT ANY ONE
PARTICULAR LOCATION.
LONG TERM...VFR EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, WITH LOWER RESTRICTIONS
LIKELY THURSDAY AS RAIN MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. RESTRICTIONS ARE
LIKELY TO STAY DOWN THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS SHOWERY WEATHER
CONTINUES, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND MOUNTAINS.
MARINE
SHORT TERM...LOW-END SCA WIND GUSTS (AROUND 25 TO 30 KTS) WILL
BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT. A SCA
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM...NORTHEASTERLY SCA-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE SECOND-HALF OF THIS WEEK, SHIFTING TO SOUTHWESTERLIES ON
FRIDAY AS A PRESSURE GRADIENT SETS UP OVER THE NORTHEAST US.
THESE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE STRONGER AND GALES
ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY BEFORE WINDING DOWN AT THE END OF THE
WEEKEND. SEAS OF 4-6FT ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL
INCREASE TO 8-10FT BY SATURDAY MORNING. SEAS LOOK TO GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE AS THE WEEKEND GOES ON, BUT SEAS WILL STAY ABOVE SCA
THRESHOLDS THROUGH THE TIMEFRAME.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ151-
153.
NEAR/SHORT TERM...HARGROVE
LONG TERM...PALMER
AVIATION/MARINE...HARGROVE/PALMER
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