161
FXUS61 KGYX 121154
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
654 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2025
SYNOPSIS
TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER CHILLY DAY WITH GUSTY WINDS AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW SHOWERS. THAT WILL COME TO AN END AS A COASTAL STORM
PASSES WELL OUT TO SEA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM
MAY COME CLOSE ENOUGH FOR A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW ALONG THE COAST,
BUT WILL MOST LIKELY STAY WELL ENOUGH AWAY. THAT WILL BE
FOLLOWED UP BY ANOTHER VERY COLD AND GUSTY MONDAY. EXPECT THE
WIND CHILLS TO REMAIN IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
650 AM UPDATE...NO CHANGES TO TO THE GOING FORECAST THIS
MORNING. A COLD, BLUSTERY DAY IS STILL IN THE CARDS WITH SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS A LIKELIHOOD.
PREVIOUSLY....
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BUILD IN THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY, BUT GUSTY WINDS AND SEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS CONTINUE
THROUGH THE DAY. GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH CONTINUE. UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN, WITH PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES DOWNWIND OF THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS RANGE FROM AROUND 20
ACROSS THE NORTH, TO THE 20S TO LOWER 30S MOST PLACES ELSEWHERE.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/
WINDS EASE TONIGHT AS THE RIDGE AXIS MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS DISSIPATE THROUGH THE EVENING
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN, WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED IN
MOST SPOTS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPS COOL INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT, BUT WIND CHILLS
WON'T BE MUCH COOLER THAN TEMPS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. A FEW
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK
FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
BY SATURDAY NIGHT, THE REGION TRANSITIONS BACK INTO SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AS A CLOSED LOW APPROACHES, RIDING DOWN THE ONTARIO/CONUS
BORDER OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. WHILE THE UPPER LOW
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA, MOST
OF THE SHORTWAVE FORCING WILL MAINLY TRACK SOUTH AND EAST OUT TO
SEA. A FEW ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS CONTINUE BRINGING THE BULK OF LIGHT
SNOW FARTHER NORTH, BUT GENERALLY UNDER 20 PERCENT OF THEM. THUS,
THERE IS STILL A LOW PROBABILITY FOR SOME IMPACTFUL WEATHER BUT
TRENDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAYBE A
LITTLE BIT OF COASTAL MAINE.
SOME LOW PROBABILITY SNOW CHANCES MAY HANG AROUND INTO MONDAY
MORNING NEAR THE COAST AND THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS IN
THE UPSLOPE REGIME. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL ALSO CROSS THE
AREA ON SUNDAY WHICH WILL LEAD TO FRIGID CONDITIONS MONDAY MORNING
AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY. LOWS ARE FORECAST TO MAINLY
RANGE FROM AROUND ZERO ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH, TO THE UPPER
SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS SOUTH. STRENGTHENING WESTERLY WINDS
WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD BELOW ZERO WIND CHILLS MONDAY MORNING WITH
SOME DOUBLE DIGIT READINGS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH. IT SHOULD
STAY COLD AND WINDY THROUGH THE DAY WITH HIGHS ONLY RISING INTO THE
UPPER SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH, TO THE LOWER 20S
SOUTH. WITH WINDS REMAINING BREEZY THROUGH THE DAY, WIND CHILL
VALUES WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW ZERO NORTH AND ONLY RISE INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE MOST ELSEWHERE.
TUESDAY MORNING LOWS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO MONDAY BUT WITH LESS
WIND. THE WARMUP THEN BEGINS IN EARNEST ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS
HIGHS RISE INTO UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S NORTH, TO THE UPPER 20S
AND LOWER 30S SOUTH. BY THURSDAY, THE NBM HAS FORECAST HIGHS RANGING
FROM THE LOW TO MID 30 NORTH, TO THE LOW TO MID 40S SOUTH. THERE ARE
ALSO SOME SIGNALS IN THE LONG TERM ENSEMBLES THAT THESE WARMER
TEMPERATURES COULD EXTEND INTO FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL APPROACH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WHICH
WILL LEAD TO SOME LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORM OF LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM...VFR PREVAILS THROUGH TODAY IN MOST SPOTS, EXCEPT
KHIE WHERE MVFR CEILINGS LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST THIS
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 25-35 KT CONTINUE TODAY BUT EASE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK.
ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS
NORTH OF THE MOUNTAINS IN PERIODIC UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS. THE OTHER
WILL BE ALONG THE COAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW
IS POSSIBLE AND IF IT OCCURS, AREAS OF IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS ARE
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. MONDAY WILL ALSO LIKELY SEE WEST NORTHWEST
WIND GUSTS OF 25 KT OR MORE.
MARINE
SHORT TERM...WESTERLY GALES CONTINUE INTO LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES, AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. SCA
CONDITIONS LINGER THROUGH THIS EVENING, AND THEN CONTINUE TO
SLOW EASE INTO SATURDAY.
LONG TERM...FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY
REDUCE VISIBILITY BUT WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA
THRESHOLDS. ON MONDAY, WESTERLY WINDS BECOME GUSTY AGAIN AS A PERIOD
OF GALE FORCE GUSTS IS POSSIBLE, POTENTIALLY INCLUDING THE BAYS AS
WELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AT TIMES THROUGH MIDWEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ150-152-154.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ151-153.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...EKSTER
SHORT TERM...EKSTER
LONG TERM...HARGROVE/LEGRO
AVIATION...
MARINE...
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