784
FXUS61 KGYX 011932 CCA
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
232 PM EST THU JAN 1 2026
SYNOPSIS
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL STAY MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS, BUT
WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AS A CLIPPER
MOVES THROUGH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 20S OR
COLDER THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A WARMUP ARRIVES EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES LIKELY BY WEDNESDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
THE REMAINDER OF LIGHT SNOW IS MARCHING EASTWARD AS THE COLD
FRONT SLICES IN FROM THE WEST. SNOW INTENSITY IS WEAKENING WITH
TIME BUT I COULD STILL SEE SOME VISIBILITIES NEAR PENOBSCOT BAY
DROPPING TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. SINCE THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IS ALREADY IN EFFECT AND THIS AREA OF SNOW IS
APPROACHING IT I WILL KEEP IT UP, THOUGH ONCE THIS HAS PASSED IT
SHOULD BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED QUICKLY.
WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY FOR AREAS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THRU THE
MID TO LATE EVENING HOURS FOR MOST PLACES. WESTERLY GUSTS UP TO
30 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES ARE POSSIBLE. IT WILL AT LEAST REMAIN
BREEZY OVERNIGHT AS WELL AS A SECONDARY FRONT DRIVES THRU WITH
THE REAL COLD AIR. THIS BRINGS WIND CHILLS DOWN TO AROUND 20 TO
25 BELOW ACROSS THE WESTERN MAINE MTNS AND I HAVE ISSUED A COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY.
BEHIND THAT SECONDARY FRONT WILL ALSO SEE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD, BUT THIS IS MAINLY FOR THE FRI FORECAST.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
FRI WILL SEE TEMPS BACK WELL BELOW NORMAL AS THE COLD AIR MASS
SETTLES INTO THE REGION. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE AND WILL
CONTINUE THE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS AS MUCH OF THE LOW LEVEL
PROFILE IS FORECAST TO BE IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE. NBM POP WAS
NIL, SO I HAVE BLENDED IN SOME OF THE DOWNSCALED NAM POP TO
PLACE SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES INTO THE FORECAST. GIVEN THE
UNBLOCKED COLD ADVECTION REGIME, FLURRIES SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF
GETTING DOWNWIND OF THE MTNS AND MAYBE SPILLING TOWARDS THE
COAST AT TIMES.
FRI NIGHT WILL REMAIN COLD, BUT WITH GRADIENT WINDS STIRRING
THRU THE NIGHT DO NOT ANTICIPATE MIN TEMPS TO BE QUITE AS COLD
AS TONIGHT.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
KEY MESSAGES:
1) AVERAGE TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND.
2) LIGHT SNOW LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT.
3) POSSIBLE WARMING TREND MID-NEXT WEEK.
A 500MB TROUGH WILL ENGULF THE NORTHEAST THIS WEEKEND, ALLOWING FOR
A COLDER THAN NORMAL WEEKEND AHEAD. OUTSIDE OF A STRAY SNOW SHOWER
IN THE MOUNTAINS, MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. A
WEAK CLIPPER MOVES IN MONDAY NIGHT, LIKELY BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOW
TO THE AREA. A PATTERN FLIP OCCURS AFTERWARDS, WITH MID-LEVEL
RIDGING STARTING TO BUILD IN ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE MID-WEEK, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
POSSIBLE BY NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM...LOCAL IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS AS THE REMAINING
SNOW SLOWLY MOVES EAST. AS THE COLD FRONT MARCHES ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO VFR FOR ALL TAF SITES
EXCEPT FOR HIE, WHERE LINGERING MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE IN
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS. THAT WILL CONTINUE THRU FRI AND FRI NIGHT.
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WESTERLY
SURFACE WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KT ARE POSSIBLE, AND AGAIN FRI
DURING THE DAY.
LONG TERM...VFR EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. SOME UPSLOPE MAY
ALLOW FOR HIE TO SEE SOME PATCHY LOWER RESTRICTIONS. A MORE
WIDESPREAD LOWER RESTRICTIONS ARRIVES MONDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT
SNOW MOVING IN.
MARINE
SHORT TERM...COLD FRONT IS CROSSING THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION KICKING IN BEHIND IT. WESTERLY
WINDS WILL INCREASE AND GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED ON ALL
WATERS. THE GALE WARNING REMAINS UNCHANGED. GRADUALLY AS SEAS
BUILD AND THE COLDER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION, MODERATE
FREEZING SPRAY WILL DEVELOP. THE FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT. WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY DIMINISH FRI BUT I
COULD SEE A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS AT TIMES WELL OUTSIDE THE BAYS.
SCA CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THRU THE PERIOD.
LONG TERM...SCA WESTERLIES DIE DOWN THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
WINDS SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLIES, AND BRIEFLY STRENGTHEN BACK TO
SCA THRESHOLDS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS SUBSIDE AGAIN AS THEY
SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLIES AT 8-12KTS BY MONDAY NIGHT. SEAS OF
2-4FT ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRE EXTENDED FORECAST.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR MEZ007>009.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MEZ022-
025>028.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>152-154.
FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR ANZ150>154.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ153.
NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...LEGRO
LONG TERM...PALMER
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