971
FXUS61 KGYX 311304
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
804 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
VERY LITTLE HAS CHANGED TO THE FORECAST OTHER THAN TO ISSUE A
GALE WARNING ON ALL WATERS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT
FOR NORTHERLIES ON THE WESTERN FRINGES OF OFFSHORE COASTAL LOW.
7AM UPDATE...CLEAR SKIES SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FOOTHILLS HAVE
LET TEMPERATURES PLUMMET, PARTICULARLY AFTER LAST EVENING'S
STEADY BREEZE WENT CALM. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BOTTOM OVER THE
NEXT HOUR AND BEGIN RISING AS THE SUN GETS HIGHER. NO CHANGES TO
EXPECTED HIGHS TODAY, BUT WILL TAKE TIME TO DIG OUT OF THE
CHILLY DEFICIT. REFRESHED TEMPERATURES WITH MOST RECENT OBS AND
DROPPED THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY AS TEMPERATURES START TO WARM.
KEY MESSAGES
1. CONTINUED COLD TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. A BIT WARMER SUNDAY BUT
STILL BELOW FREEZING AREA-WIDE WITH 25 TO 30 MPH NORTHERLY
GUSTS, ESPECIALLY ON THE COAST. PRECIPITATION WITH OFFSHORE LOW
REMAINS OFFSHORE.
2. HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY COMBINED WITH
AN OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY BRING WATER LEVELS TO NEAR
MINOR FLOOD STAGE DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...THE BROKEN RECORD CONSISTING OF
COLD AIR CONTINUES TODAY AND TONIGHT. A VERY COLD EARLY MORNING
IS IN STORE TODAY THAT WILL ONLY WARM TO AROUND 20 DEGREES AT
LOW ELEVATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND MID TEENS WELL INLAND.
HOWEVER, MID 20S SEEMS ATTAINABLE ON SUNDAY MAKING IT FEEL
SOMEWHAT WARMER. THE PROBLEM IS THAT WE'LL HAVE A GUSTY
NORTHERLY WIND AND A SHIELD OF CLOUDS OVERHEAD. OVERALL, WITH
THE MID ATLANTIC STORM TRENDING FARTHER OFFSHORE AT OUR LATITUDE
IMPACTS OTHER THAN PERHAPS SOME COASTAL FLOODING SHOULD BE
MINIMAL AT BEST.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY COMBINED WITH BETWEEN 1-2 FT OF SURGE FROM DISTANT LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC MAY BRING TOTAL WATER LEVELS TO
NEAR MINOR FLOOD STAGE DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE GREATEST
TIDE OF CONCERN IS THE LATE MONDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE,
WHICH WILL OCCUR AROUND 11 AM LOCAL TIME. THE ETSS SURGE
GUIDANCE SEEMED TOO HIGH FOR THIS EVENT AND THEREFORE BLENDED IN
ESTOFS TO LOWER THE FORECAST SOME. NEVERTHELESS, SOME BEACH
EROSION AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE.
AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY...NO SIG WEATHER EXPECTED WITH NW WINDS
GUSTING LESS THAN 20KT. VFR WITH MOSTLY SKC THIS MORNING, SOME
AFTERNOON CU FOR INTERIOR TERMINALS. MOST CONSISTENT CEILINGS
WILL BE NW OF THE WHITE MTNS, GENERALLY LOW VFR WITH PERIODS OF
MVFR FOR LEB/HIE. OFFSHORE CLOUD DECK MAY BACKBUILD TOWARDS
PSM/PWM THROUGH THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THIS MAY RESULT IN
MVFR DECKS. THIS DECK WILL THICKEN AND LOWER, ESPECIALLY JUST
OFF THE COAST, THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY: NO SIG WX. N WINDS INCREASE, WITH GUSTS 15 TO 25 KT
ACROSS INTERIOR, AND UP TO 30 KT ALONG COASTAL TERMINALS. BRIEF
WINDOW OF LLWS POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING BEFORE MECHANICAL MIXING
BEGINS.
MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH NW WIND GUSTS
UP TO 20 KTS.
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT: VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
WEDNESDAY: VFR CONDITIONS WITH NW WINDS AT 5-15 KTS.
MARINE
GALES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS
LOW PRESSURE PASSES WELL TO THE EAST.
SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT OUTSIDE OF THE
BAYS AT 4-9 FT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN LARGELY REMAIN BELOW
SCA CRITERIA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR
ANZ150>154.
DISCUSSION...CORNWELL/EKSTER/PALMER/TUBBS
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