133
FXUS61 KGYX 031024
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
624 AM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED THE AVIATION SECTION FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE.
KEY MESSAGES
1. EXPECT FAIR WEATHER WITH A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP TODAY AND
THURSDAY.
2. VERY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON FRIDAY BEFORE A
COLD FRONT BRINGS INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
AS AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE WELL OUT TO SEA, THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO RELAX THIS MORNING. FOG WILL
ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY BUT
SHOULDN'T LAST MUCH LONGER THAN 12Z OR SO.
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AXIS APPROACHING. THIS PATTERN WILL PROMOTE A SIGNIFICANT
WARMUP WITH DRY AND FAIR CONDITIONS. HIGHS TODAY WILL MAINLY RANGE
FROM THE LOWER 70S NORTH TO THE LOWER 80S SOUTH. MOST WILL THEN SEE
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO UPPER 80S ON THURSDAY. LOWS WILL BE MILD FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT, MAINLY IN THE 50S WITH
SOME 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
FRIDAY WILL AGAIN BE VERY WARM WITH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S
ACROSS THE REGION, POSSIBLY EVEN 90 DEGREES IN PARTS OF SOUTHERN NH.
A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE PICTURE LATER IN THE DAY FROM THE NORTH,
WHICH MAY BRING A A COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS ACROSS FAR
NORTHERN AREAS, BUT MOST WILL REMAIN DRY.
THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD FRIDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS INTO THE FIRST PART OF SATURDAY, SO THOSE
SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE ANOTHER WARM DAY BEFORE MORE CLOUDS
FILL IN AND SHOWERS/STORMS INCREASE IN COVERAGE.
SHOWERS REMAIN LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY (AND A FEW STORMS
POSSIBLE) WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY THANKS TO THE CLOUDS
AND PRECIP. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES,
THERE'S A STRENGTHENING SIGNAL IN THE ENSEMBLES FOR A NORTH TO SOUTH
DRYING TREND LATER SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT PUSHES
FARTHER SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN.
SOUTHERN AREAS MAY HOLD ONTO A FEW SHOWERS ON MONDAY, BUT THERE'S
MORE SUPPORT FOR UPPER RIDGING TO BUILD TOWARD THE NORTHEAST TO
BRING MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND TOWARD THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. THAT SAID, IF THE CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH REMAINS
MORE TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES, CAN'T RULE OUT A COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES
RIDING ON TOP OF THE RIDGE INTO NEW ENGLAND.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THROUGH 12Z THU...VFR CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL WITH AN
AFTERNOON SEABREEZE POSSIBLE BOTH TODAY AND THU. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS DURING THE MORNING WILL BECOME S-SE IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS COASTAL/SOUTHERN TAF SITES BEHIND THE SEA
BREEZE. LIGHT WINDS WILL RETURN AT NIGHT.
OUTLOOK:
THURSDAY NIGHT: VFR EXPECTED.
FRIDAY: VFR EXPECTED. CAN'T RULE OUT A SHOWER OR STORM NEAR HIE, BUT
FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE MOST PRECIP WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT: A COLD FRONT BRINGS INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS AND MVFR TO IFR RESTRICTIONS ACROSS THE
REGION, MAINLY FOR NORTHERN TAF SITES FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN
GENERALLY AREAWIDE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
SUNDAY: CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS AND IFR
RESTRICTIONS, ESPECIALLY THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY.
IMPROVEMENT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE DAY INTO
SUNDAY, BUT THIS DEPENDS ON HOW QUICKLY THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH.
MONDAY: MOSTLY VFR, BUT CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS
ACROSS SOUTHERN NH.
MARINE
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH THURSDAY WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WEATHER
PATTERN.
FRIDAY-WEDNESDAY...CONDITIONS LIKELY REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY WITH WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. THIS BRINGS INCREASING CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY MARINE FOG AS
WELL. THE FRONT LOOKS TO CROSS THE WATERS EITHER LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
OR SUNDAY WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS POSSIBLY REACHING SCA LEVELS
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TOWARD NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD THEN KEEP WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA LEVELS EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TUBBS/COMBS/HARGROVE
AVIATION...TUBBS
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