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FXUS61 KGYX 081040
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
640 AM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO CHANGES NEEDED WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS FAIR WEATHER TODAY AND TUESDAY WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND COMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS.
2. HUMIDITY INCREASES ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL REMAIN ELEVATED
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOW 90S COMBINED WITH THE
HUMIDITY WILL POSE A HEAT RISK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
HIGHS PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AND
WILL SETTLE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING FAIR
WEATHER WITH HIGHS TODAY IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S INCREASING
INTO THE MID 80S ON TUESDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL HELP KEEP
DEW POINTS IN THE 40S TODAY AND IN THE 50S TUESDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AN ACTIVE TROUGHING PATTERN OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
WILL HELP KEEP THE RIDGE AXIS NEAR THE EAST COAST THROUGH FRIDAY
WHILE SHORT WAVES/REMNANT CONVECTION ATTEMPT TO MOVE ATOP THE
RIDGE. ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT TEMPERATURES ALOFT
WILL RUN ABOVE WELL NORMAL ALONG WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE OVER
THE NORTHEAST. THE LATEST NBM BRINGS DEW POINTS INTO THE MID 60S
WEDNESDAY WITH THESE HIGH DEW POINTS PERSISTING INTO FRIDAY AND
POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. THE WARM AIR ALOFT WILL PROMOTE HIGHS
INTO THE 80S TO LOW 90S WHILE DAILY CHANCES FOR CLOUDS, SHOWERS,
AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING
THEIR FULL POTENTIAL.
MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THAT ONE WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE
RIDGE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK. THE CONVECTIVE PARAMETER SPACE DOES NOT LOOK ALL THAT
IMPRESSIVE SO THE RISK FOR ANY STRONG STORMS APPEARS LOW. THE
RIDGE REBUILDS OVER THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY WHILE THERE WILL
CHANCES FOR DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TROUGHING OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS ATTEMPTS TO PUSH EAST FRIDAY WITH FLOW
STRENGTHENING ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND A COLD
FRONT MAKING A PUSH TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. MOST AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE HOLDS THE FRONT OFF UNTIL LATE FRIDAY AND SOME
SOLUTIONS DON'T HAVE IT REACHING NEW ENGLAND UNTIL SATURDAY IF
IT IS ABLE TO CROSS AT ALL. THEREFORE FRIDAY LOOKS TO REMAIN
VERY WARM AND HUMID. THIS FRONT MAY BE ONE TO WATCH AS IT MAY
PROVIDE A SOURCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS MACHINE
LEARNING GUIDANCE OUT OF CSU IS PICKING UP ON THAT SIGNAL.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...IFR/LIFR FOG MAY LINGER A LITTLE PAST 12Z
THIS MORNING AT HIE AND LEB, BUT OTHERWISE VFR PREVAILS THE REST OF
TODAY WITH AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST. VFR
PREVAILS TONIGHT, EXCEPT FOG COULD BRING IFR TO LIFR RESTRICTIONS
TO LEB AND HIE ONCE AGAIN.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED, BUT
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRING ABOUT TEMPO
MVFR CONDITIONS.
MARINE
A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE WATERS WITH STEADY NORTH
FLOW IN ITS WAKE. THESE WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 20 KTS THROUGH
MORNING WITH THE OUTER WATERS SEEING GUSTS TO 25 KTS. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY AND SETTLES SOUTH OF THE WATERS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN
BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHROETER/COMBS
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