722  
FXUS61 KGYX 111838  
AFDGYX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME  
238 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2026  
   
WHAT HAS CHANGED  
 
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST AT THIS TIME.  
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
1. MAINLY FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOW POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS.  
 
2. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE LIKELY TO END OUT THE WEEK, WITH  
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ASTRONOMICAL TIDES  
WILL BE AT A MONTHLY HIGH, BUT IMPACTS SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...  
 
OTHER THAN LOCALLY DENSE VALLEY FOG TONIGHT THE WEATHER WILL BE  
FAIR. RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE  
50S IN OUTLYING AREAS, WITH A FEW SPOTS IN NORTHERN NH POSSIBLY  
REACHING THE UPPER 40S. HAVE HEAVILY BLENDED IN THE MET AND MAV  
GUIDANCE FOR LOWS.  
 
A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND  
WEDNESDAY. THIS FEATURE COUPLED WITH AT LEAST WEAK INSTABILITY  
SHOULD ALLOW FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WITH SFC DEWPOINT  
DEPRESSIONS AROUND 20F GUSTY WINDS COULD OCCUR IN CONVECTIVE  
SHOWERS AND STORMS. HOWEVER, COVERAGE WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED  
AND MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY. VALLEY FOG WILL BE  
LIKELY ONCE AGAIN LATE AT NIGHT.  
 
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...  
 
A WEAK TROUGH AXIS SWINGS INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND  
IS LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING ITS PASSAGE, SHOWERS  
AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT PWATS IN THE RANGE OF 1.1-1.5  
INCHES SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHOWERS TO BE FAIRLY SCATTERED RATHER  
THAN MORE WIDESPREAD.  
 
IN ADDITION, WE WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE HIGH TIDES FOR  
THURSDAY. ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE HIGH FOR THE MONTH, AND THE TIDE  
GAUGES WILL BE CLOSE TO REACHING MINOR FLOOD STAGE. HOWEVER, LIGHT  
OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW WAVE HEIGHTS COULD ALLOW FOR SOME HIGH  
WATER ALONG THE COAST, BUT OTHERWISE IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL.  
 
OVER THE WEEKEND, A MID-LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE AREA. RIDGING  
AND HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD ALLOW FOR DRY AND PLEASANT WEATHER,  
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES FORECAST NEAR 80F.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/  
 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR EXPECTED WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT  
WINDS. VALLEY FOG AT HIE AND LEB LIKELY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT. THE SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY COME ASHORE DURING THE  
AFTERNOON AT COASTAL TERMINALS. WIDELY SCATTERED GUSTY SHOWERS  
AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
OUTLOOK:  
 
THURSDAY-FRIDAY: PERIODS OF MVFR POSSIBLE DUE TO SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
SATURDAY-SUNDAY: VFR EXPECTED.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
WINDS AND SEAS WILL LARGELY REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA THROUGH  
THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF GENERALLY WEAK COLD FRONTS CROSS THE  
WATERS. CONDITIONS MAY COME CLOSE TO SCA CRITERIA BRIEFLY FRIDAY  
NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY.  
 
 
   
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
ME...NONE.  
NH...NONE.  
MARINE...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...EKSTER/PALMER  
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