910
FXUS64 KHGX 192306
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
506 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
A SECONDARY FRONT WILL BRING A REINFORCEMENT OF COLDER AND DRIER AIR
AS IT MOVES THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOWS TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50 DEGREES ACROSS
THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND PINEY WOODS. ELSEWHERE, LOWS WILL BE IN THE
LOW TO MID 50S. PERSISTENT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS, GUSTY AT TIMES, WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW COLDER AIR IN FOR WEDNESDAY, AND WILL KEEP HIGHS
ACROSS THE AREA IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70 DEGREES (HIGHEST TEMPERATURES
IN THE SOUTHERNMOST COUNTIES).
LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE EVEN COLDER WITH
LOWS ACROSS THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND PINEY WOODS DROPPING INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 30S. CLOSER TO THE METRO EXPECT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S
AND IN THE LOW 50S ALONG THE COAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE
TEXAS ON THURSDAY, LEADING TO LIGHT WINDS AND GENERALLY SUNNY SKIES.
ADDITIONALLY, WINDS WILL LOSE THEIR NORTHERLY COMPONENT FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER, SLIGHTLY, INTO
THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. ADAMS
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE SETTLING SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WEAK REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE AREA SAGGING
INTO THE AREA FRIDAY. THE COMBINATION OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, LOW
DEWPOINTS AND FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS WILL FAVOR ABOUT A 30F TEMPERATURE
SPREAD EACH DAY (40S/70S) IN SATURDAY. SOUTHEAST/SOUTH WINDS WILL
RESUME THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND
LEE SIDE PRESSURES FALL. AS THIS TAKES PLACE, LOOK FOR A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND TO ENSUE ALONG WITH A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER AS WE
HEAD INTO SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. 47
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 506 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
SKC ACROSS THE AREA, BUT A BIT OF HZ AT CLL LATE THIS AFTERNOON,
AND MORE SIGNIFICANT HZ AT LBX, WHICH I HAVE PERSISTING INTO THE
EVENING A BIT BEFORE RETURNING TO P6SM. WSW WINDS AT OUTSET WILL
VEER TOWARDS NORTHWESTERLY, THEN NORTHERLY TONIGHT WITH PASSAGE OF
REINFORCING FRONT.
EXPECT WINDS TO PICK UP SIGNIFICANT AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE, INTO
THE LOW TEENS WITH GUSTS INTO THE 20S. LLWS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED
TO BEGIN AROUND THE 09-11Z WINDOW, THEN GRADUALLY FADE BY 14-15Z
AS HIGHER WINDS ALOFT WORK DOWN TO THE SURFACE, ELIMINATING THE
CHANGE IN SPEED WITH HEIGHT.
GUSTY WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIE DOWN AT THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, BUT WILL LEAVE HANDLING THAT TO THE NEXT FORECAST CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 227 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR LATE TONIGHT & WEDNESDAY
AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE WATERS. LOOK FOR A STEADY
INCREASE IN NORTH WINDS AFTER ABOUT 2AM - AND ESPECIALLY INTO
SUNRISE AND MID MORNING HOURS. LOOK FOR A CORRESPONDING INCREASE
IN SEAS AS WELL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST, LIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL RESUME SATURDAY THEN GRADUALLY INCREASE SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 49 67 38 71 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 54 69 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 61 69 55 68 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ330-
335.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ350-
355-370-375.
SHORT TERM...ADAMS
LONG TERM....47
AVIATION...LUCHS
MARINE...47
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