273
FXUS64 KHGX 282327
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
627 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LIBERTY AND POLK COUNTIES THROUGH 7
PM THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THIS AFTERNOON, COMING TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT.
SOME STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD
CONTRIBUTE TO LOCALIZED INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS;
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE TORNADO WATCH, TORNADOS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON. ADAMS
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 406 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
RAIN WILL COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING THROUGH JUST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LINGERING SHOWERS COULD CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST AND
THE EASTERN COUNTIES INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. RESIDUAL MOISTURE
AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO PATCHY FOG OVER PORTIONS OF SE
TEXAS OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
60S.
FOR SATURDAY, SOUTHERLY WINDS AND RIDGING IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO WARMING TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S INLAND
AND IN THE 70S ALONG THE COAST. LOWS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN
THE 60 TO NEAR 70 DEGREES. ONCE AGAIN, LIGHT WINDS AND LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN PATCHY FOG, PARTICULARLY ACROSS COASTAL
COUNTIES. ADAMS
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
A TROF WILL BE CROSSING THE PLAINS SUNDAY. ITS TRAILING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL SAG INTO N/NE TX AND CLOSER TO NORTHERN PARTS OF THE
CWA LATE IN THE DAY/EVENING. WE'LL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE UPSTREAM
FOR A BAND OF SHOWERS/STORMS DEVELOPING ON THE BOUNDARY AND
POTENTIALLY CLIPPING THE PINEY WOODS AREA AND/OR NORTH & EAST
PARTS OF THE CWA. THE FRONT SHOULD SAG CLOSER TO THE COAST MONDAY,
BUT NOT SURE IT'LL HAVE THE SUPPORT TO MAKE IT VERY FAR OFFSHORE
BEFORE STALLING AND WASHING OUT. SE/S FLOW WILL RESUME AREAWIDE
TUESDAY AND INCREASING INTO MIDWEEK. THIS WILL DRIVE DEWPOINTS UP
AND WARM/MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH LOWS AROUND 70 AND
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 80S. THERE'S REALLY NO SUBSTANTIAL FORCING FOR
MUCH MORE THAN ISO/SCT DIURNALLY DRIVEN PRECIP DURING THE WORK
WEEK. POSSIBLY SOME HIGHER CHANCES NEXT WEEKEND AS ANOTHER
MID/UPPER TROF TO THE WEST MAKES ITS WAY CLOSER TO THE AREA. 47
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
STORMS EXITING TO THE EAST, THOUGH SOME LINGERING SHOWERS REMAIN
NEAR CLL/UTS AS WELL AS LBX. ALSO HAVE FLIGHT CONDITIONS RANGING
FROM IFR TO VFR, BUT MOST WILL BE VFR INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
POORER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FILL IN THROUGH THE NIGHT,
THOUGH, GRADUALLY COMING DOWN TO LOW MVFR AND IFR ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS, ALONG WITH SOME PATCHY FOG IN KNOWN TROUBLE SPOTS (HEY
THERE, CXO, SGR, AND LBX). VFR SHOULD RETURN MID-DAY TOMORROW AS
THE OVERNIGHT CLOUDS LIFT AND SCATTER OUT. SOMEWHAT JUMBLED WINDS
AT THE OUTSET WILL SETTLE IN AS SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 10KT
OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 406 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
THE CENTER OF AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING OVERHEAD
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ITS ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE A FEW EMBEDDED CELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING 30-50 KNOT GUSTS. THOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW LINGERING
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MOVING OUT OF
THE AREA BY EARLY EVENING. WE STILL HAVE AN ELEVATED SWELL
OFFSHORE AND SEAS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO SUBSIDE, BUT SHOULD VERY
SLOWLY DO SO AS THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES. A WARM AIRMASS WILL RESIDE
OVER THE WATERS THIS WEEKEND INTO AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK AND WE
WILL MONITOR FOR SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT. A WEAK FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE COAST LATER MONDAY, BUT AT THIS TIME IT IS UNCLEAR IF
IT WILL HAVE ENOUGH OF A PUSH TO MAKE IT ALL THE WAY OFFSHORE
BEFORE STALLING AND WASH OUT. ONSHORE FLOW AND SEAS RESUME TUESDAY
AND INCREASE FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 63 84 67 81 / 10 0 10 30
HOUSTON (IAH) 65 84 69 84 / 50 30 20 20
GALVESTON (GLS) 66 75 68 76 / 60 40 20 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR TXZ436>439.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR
GMZ350-355.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR GMZ370-375.
SHORT TERM...ADAMS
LONG TERM....47
AVIATION...LUCHS
MARINE...47
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