961
FXUS64 KHGX 261908
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
208 PM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
GOES TOTAL PW IMAGERY SHOWS A TONGUE OF LOW MOISTURE VALUES
STRETCHING INLAND FROM THE GULF AND ENCOMPASSING MOST OF THE
AREA...EXCEPTION BEING EXTREME WESTERN ZONES WHERE THERE'S A FEW
WEAK SHOWERS SHOWING UP ON RADAR. THESE SHOULD DISSIPATE BY EARLY
EVENING. WITH WX PATTERN REMAINING ABOUT AS-IS (MID/UPPER RIDGING
FROM MEXICO STRETCHING NNEWD ACROSS EASTERN TX, LLVL ONSHORE FLOW),
ONE WOULD EXPECT WX TO REMAIN ABOUT STATUS QUO TOO. LOOK FOR LATE
NIGHT/EARLY MORNING CLOUDINESS AND PATCHY FOG FOLLOWED BY PCLDY
AFTERNOONS. TEMPS WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT 5-10F ABOVE SEASONABLE
NORMS AND RAIN CHANCES, THOUGH NOT EXACTLY ZERO, AREN'T WORTH
MENTIONING. 47
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
WE WILL KICK OFF THE WORK WEEK WITH QUIET WEATHER AS A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS. EXPECT A
TRANSITION TO BEGIN AS WE HEAD INTO MIDWEEK WITH A CLOSED LOW OVER
THE GREAT BASIN/ROCKY MOUNTAINS EVOLVES INTO AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
AND DEEPENS AS IT PROGRESSES EASTWARD. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE
IN RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY AS THIS SYSTEM NEARS SE TEXAS. ENERGY PULSES
AT THE H5 LEVEL ARE EXPECTED TO COME AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE
TROUGH AND AID IN UPWARD MOVEMENT OF AIR AND CONSEQUENTLY SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE WEEK. MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT/QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY OVER
PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA/ARKLATEX ON WEDNESDAY. WHILE HIGHER RAINFALL
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL NORTH OF THE CWA, THIS BOUNDARY AND
THE SHORTWAVE IN THE VICINITY WILL HELP TO BRING AROUND 0.25-0.75"
OF RAINFALL TO AREAS NORTH OF I-10 WITH LESS THAN 0.5" PROJECTED FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF I-10 FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WITH
THIS BEING LATER IN THE PERIOD, THESE TOTALS ARE LIKELY GOING TO
CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CURRENT GUIDANCE SHOWS THE BOUNDARY
PUSHING SOUTHWARD NEAR THE END OF THE WEEK NEXT WEEK...AGAIN, IT IS
TOO LATE IN THE PERIOD TO SAY WITH CERTAINTY WHAT THE TIMING OF
A FROPA WILL BE.
ADAMS
AVIATION
(18Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
THERE WILL BE SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS AROUND, BUT PRIMARILY WELL WEST
OF THE I-45 CORRIDOR. LOOK FOR LOWER STRATUS TO FILL IN LATER
TONIGHT. SHOULD GENERALLY BE IN THE MVFR RANGE, CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME HIGHER END IFR CONDITIONS MIXED IN. AM EXPECTING SOME PATCHY
FOG AS WELL, BUT WITH WIND SPEEDS A BIT HIGHER THAN LAST NIGHT,
THINK OVERALL COVERAGE SHOULDN'T BE AS PREVALENT. GRADUALLY
IMPROVING CONDITIONS MID MORNING ONWARD AS CIGS/VIS HEAD BACK UP
INTO VFR TERRITORY. 47
MARINE
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
ONSHORE WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AS SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FEET CAN BE
EXPECTED UP THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL
ALSO BRING A HIGHER RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG GULF-FACING BEACHES.
MEANINGFUL RAIN CHANCES RETURN ON WEDNESDAY. SEAS MAY REACH CAUTION
LEVELS AT TIMES NEXT WEEK.
ADAMS
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 68 88 69 87 / 10 10 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 70 87 71 85 / 10 10 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 74 81 74 81 / 10 10 10 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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