431
FXUS64 KHGX 240458
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1158 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
-SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY
-HIGHEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY
-TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RUN JUST ABOVE SEASONABLE NORMALS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND THE
GULF WATERS AT THIS HOUR. EXPECT THIS PATTERN TO CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT WITH AN UPTICK IN ACTIVITY EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING.
MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR DURING THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE EXPANDING NORTH DURING
THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. AS IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR,
SOME STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONGER AND COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS, BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS, AND SMALL HAIL. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS COULD RESULT IN PONDING ALONG ROADWAYS. RAIN CHANCES
DECREASE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
EXPECT THAT PATTERN TO CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
BEFORE A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN PLACE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
BOTH DAYS (HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND THE SEA/BAY BREEZE).
ANOTHER REINFORCEMENT OF MOISTURE WILL SEND PWAT VALUES RISING
INTO THE 1.5-2.2" RANGE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH CUTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN POPS GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAYTIME WILL BE NEAR TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEARS AS HIGHS HANG AROUND THE 85-95 DEGREE
RANGE. MUGGY AND MILD NIGHTS ARE EXPECTED EACH NIGHT THIS WEEK
WITH LOWS IN THE 70S INLAND TO NEAR 80 DEGREES ALONG THE COAST.
HEAT INDICES THROUGH THE WEEK WILL BE IN THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 615 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
BEFORE DISSIPATING AFTER SUNSET. CXO IS SEEING THE MOST IMPACTS AS
OF RIGHT NOW WITH A THUNDERSTORM RIGHT OVER THE AIRPORT BRINGING
TEMPORARY IFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT BRINGING ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG CXO AND
NORTHWARD...THIS WILL ALSO BE PAIRED WITH A BRIEF WINDOW FOR MVFR
CEILINGS MAINLY BETWEEN 11-15Z. VFR CONDITIONS RETURN ON TUESDAY
MORNING AS ISOLATED SHOWERS BEGIN TO STREAM IN ALONG THE COAST.
EXPECTING ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS IN THE LATE
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA. THESE HAVE BEEN
COVERED WITH A PROB30 FOR NOW MAINLY AFTER 18Z (AFTER 15Z CLOSER
TO THE COAST) AS THE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION WILL BE RATHER
SPORADIC. EXPECT WINDS TO START OUT EASTERLY IN THE MORNING AND
BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
GENERALLY AROUND 10 KT. TUESDAY'S SHOWERS/STORMS WILL FOLLOW A
SIMILAR PATTERN AND DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
BATISTE
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS AND 2 TO 4 FOOT SEAS
ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS MAY OCCUR IN AND AROUND STORMS. ISOLATED TO POTENTIALLY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL LEAD TO HIGHER WATER LEVELS, IN
PARTICULAR DURING HIGH TIDE, AS WELL AS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK
FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF FACING COASTS.
ADAMS
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 93 74 91 74 / 30 20 30 10
HOUSTON (IAH) 92 76 91 76 / 40 10 60 30
GALVESTON (GLS) 90 81 90 81 / 20 20 40 50
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ADAMS
AVIATION...BATISTE
MARINE...ADAMS
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