298
FXUS64 KHGX 241120
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
620 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
-SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY
-HIGHEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY
-TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RUN JUST ABOVE SEASONABLE NORMALS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND THE
GULF WATERS AT THIS HOUR. EXPECT THIS PATTERN TO CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT WITH AN UPTICK IN ACTIVITY EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING.
MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR DURING THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE EXPANDING NORTH DURING
THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. AS IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR,
SOME STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONGER AND COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS, BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS, AND SMALL HAIL. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS COULD RESULT IN PONDING ALONG ROADWAYS. RAIN CHANCES
DECREASE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
EXPECT THAT PATTERN TO CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
BEFORE A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN PLACE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
BOTH DAYS (HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND THE SEA/BAY BREEZE).
ANOTHER REINFORCEMENT OF MOISTURE WILL SEND PWAT VALUES RISING
INTO THE 1.5-2.2" RANGE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH CUTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN POPS GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAYTIME WILL BE NEAR TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEARS AS HIGHS HANG AROUND THE 85-95 DEGREE
RANGE. MUGGY AND MILD NIGHTS ARE EXPECTED EACH NIGHT THIS WEEK
WITH LOWS IN THE 70S INLAND TO NEAR 80 DEGREES ALONG THE COAST.
HEAT INDICES THROUGH THE WEEK WILL BE IN THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 612 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
COVERAGE WILL BE HIGHEST ALONG THE COAST/SOUTH OF I-10 THROUGH
AROUND NOON, THEN EXPAND NORTHWARDS THROUGH AROUND SUNSET.
COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE A BIT HIGHER TODAY COMPARED TO THE PAST
FEW DAYS, SO HAVE GONE WITH TEMPOS OF TS INSTEAD OF PROB30S FOR
THE MAIN HOURS OF CONCERN. WHILE ACTIVITY WITH END OVER LAND
THROUGH THE NIGHT, THERE WILL LIKELY STILL BE SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR EVEN THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS POSSIBLY
IMPACTING GLS AND LBX THROUGH THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY FOR MOST OF THE
REGION.
OTHERWISE, PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING AT CXO WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO GIVING WAY TO AREA-WIDE VFR CONDITIONS WITH SE
WINDS AROUND 6-10KTS. HIGHER, VARIABLE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS EVENING.
FOWLER
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1117 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS AND 2 TO 4 FOOT SEAS
ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS MAY OCCUR IN AND AROUND STORMS. ISOLATED TO POTENTIALLY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS WILL LEAD TO HIGHER WATER LEVELS, IN
PARTICULAR DURING HIGH TIDE, AS WELL AS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK
FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF FACING COASTS.
ADAMS
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 92 74 89 73 / 20 10 40 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 91 75 90 75 / 50 20 70 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 89 81 88 82 / 50 40 60 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ADAMS
AVIATION...FOWLER
MARINE...ADAMS
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