368
FXUS64 KHGX 222307
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
607 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
- CONTINUED HOT WITH LITTLE CHANCES OF RAIN THRU MOST OF THURS.
HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY FLIRT WITH HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA AT
TIMES.
- CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATE THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
WITH SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IN THE AREA, TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ON THE HOT SIDE AND RAIN CHANCES VERY LOW-NIL THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. HEAT INDEX/STRESS VALUES MAY FLIRT WITH ADVISORY CRITERIA,
BUT SUSPECT WE MIGHT SEE JUST ENOUGH DAYTIME DRY AIR MIXING
WHEREAS WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO SKIRT OUT OF HAVING TO PUSH ONE OUT.
BUT REGARDLESS, HEAT SAFETY PROTOCOLS SHOULD BE FOLLOWED IF
PLANNING TO WORK/PLAY OUTDOORS.
LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WE SHOULD SEE A MID-UPPER INVERTED
TROF, AND MAYBE A WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION, MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE
REGION FROM THE EAST. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN TO THE SOUPY 2.4"
PW'S, INCREASED CLOUDINESS, SLIGHTLY LOWER DAYTIME TEMPS, AND
HIGHER CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA INTO SATURDAY.
LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, A STRENGTHENING H5 RIDGE
TAKES SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS. THOUGH HEIGHTS WILL BUILD LOCALLY,
WE'LL STILL BE IN THE EASTERLIES ON ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. AND
WITH SOME RESIDUAL 1.7-2.1" PW'S REMAINING IN THE VICINITY,
SUSPECT WE'LL SEE A "TYPICAL" SUMMERTIME DIURNALLY DRIVEN PRECIP
PATTERN WITH SOME ISOLATED-SCATTERED SHRA/TSTMS EACH DAY THE
CLOSER ONE GETS TO THE COAST. 47
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 607 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
LARGELY VFR AND WINDS MORE-OR-LESS SOUTHERLY 5-10 KTS FOR THIS
CYCLE. LENGTH OF TAFS LARGELY DUE TO HANDLING DIURNAL CYCLE OF
WINDS, A LITTLE MORE WEST OF SOUTH EARLY, BECOME MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. POTENTIAL FOR SCRAPS OF FOG OR LOW
CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT, BUT VERY LOW CONFIDENCE IN IMPACT TO MERIT A
CHANGE IN FLIGHT CATEGORY AT ANY SITE. AT MOST, I HAVE A SCT012 AT
CLL AROUND DAWN.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS SHOULD PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LOW INTO THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
AREA. AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST
LATE THURSDAY, PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE CONTINUE AS WE
HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 74 98 73 98 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 77 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 10
GALVESTON (GLS) 82 91 80 92 / 0 0 0 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...LUCHS
MARINE...47
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