721
FXUS64 KHGX 080525
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1225 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
THIS WEEKEND. HEAT INDICES UP TO 107°F ARE POSSIBLE. PRACTICE
HEAT SAFETY!
- CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS, MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-10 CORRIDOR WILL PERSIST THROUGH INTO NEXT WEEK. RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
THE FORECAST ISN'T ALL THAT EXCITING WITH IT BEING SUMMER AND ALL,
AND IT CAN PRETTY MUCH BE SUMMARIZED AS "HOT WITH DAILY CHANCES OF
SHOWERS/STORMS." HOWEVER, WITH TODAY BEING INTERNATIONAL CAT DAY
(JUST HEAR MEOW-T), LET'S POUNCE ON THE OPPORTUNITY TO HAVE A LITTLE
FUN WITH THIS PURR-SISTENT AND TYPICAL SUMMERLIKE PATTERN. GOT YOUR
PAW-PCORN READY? LET'S GO! :)
HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S ONCE AGAIN WITH A FEW SPOTS REACHING THE 100°F MARK. AS WE
SAW YESTERDAY, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
PAW-SSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG THE SEABREEZE...SO
THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-10. THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS ESPECIALLY AS THE STORMS COLLAPSE. LET'S NOT
FUR-GET THAT WE COULD SEE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER STORMS
ACT AS A CAT-ALYST FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION. HEAT INDICES WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 104-107°F RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. NO NEED TO HISS AT
THAT AS DEW POINTS MIXING OUT INTO THE UPPER 60S/LOW 70S DURING
THE AFTERNOON SHOULD BE JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP US OUT OF HEAT
ADVISORY TERRITORY. EVEN THOUGH IT'S TYPICALLY HOT HERE IN THE
SUMMER, THAT DOESN'T MAKE THE HEAT ANY LESS DANGEROUS...SO PLEASE
CONTINUE TO PRACTICE HEAT SAFETY.
WE'VE BEEN ON THE TAIL-END OF AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
OVER NEW MEXICO/NW TEXAS, WHICH HAS ALLOWED US TO HAVE SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH DAILY RAIN CHANCES. THAT WILL
REMAIN THE CASE FOR TODAY AS WELL, BUT GOING INTO THE THE WEEKEND AN
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL HELP KNEAD OUT THE RIDGING
PATTERN. THIS TROUGH-Y PATTERN LOOKS LIKE IT WILL MARK ITS TERRITORY
AND SIT OVER TEXAS GOING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK (IF IT FITS, IT SITS).
THAT MEANS RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE RISE AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ON AN EVER SO SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND. WE AREN'T TALKING ABOUT A
DRASTIC TEMPERATURE CHANGE HERE, BUT I HAVE A GOOD FELINE THAT WE
WON'T BE ABLE TO CLIMB INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS FOR QUITE A FEW DAYS.
HEAT INDICES WILL STILL MANAGE TO CLAW WELL INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS
THOUGH, SO IT'LL FEEL HOT NO MATTER WHAT THE THERMOSTAT SAYS. DON'T
LET THE RAIN CHANCES BITE INTO YOUR PLANS THIS WEEKEND...IT WON'T BE
A TOTAL WASHOUT. THE REGION WILL BE LITTERED WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS THOUGH, SO YOU MAY WANT TO HAVE AN
IDEA OF WHERE TO TAKE COVER FROM THE RAIN AND/OR LIGHTNING
ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-10. REMEMBER WHEN THUNDER
ROARS, GO INDOORS...THERE'S NO KITTEN AROUND WHEN IT COMES TO
LIGHTNING SAFETY!
WE WON'T BE ABLE TO SCRATCH OUT THE RAIN CHANCES AS THEY REMAIN
ELEVATED GOING INTO NEXT WEEK. WITH SOUTHEAST TEXAS LIKELY BEING
BETWEEN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST AND TO OUR EAST, WE'LL
CONTINUE TO PLAY CAT AND MOUSE ON WHO GETS RAIN AND WHO DOESN'T
EVERYDAY. AS A RESULT, TEMPERATURES INTO MIDWEEK WILL MAINLY TOP OUT
IN THE LOW TO MID 90S, WHICH IS MUCH LESS AP-PAW-LING. BEFORE THAT
THOUGH, WE HAVE TO GET THROUGH ANOTHER VERY HOT AND HUMID DAY WITH A
FEW ~100°F OBS ON THE TABLE ONCE AGAIN. SO LET'S PAWS FOR A MOMENT
AND REVIEW HEAT SAFETY TIPS: KNOW THE SIGNS OF HEAT RELATED
ILLNESSES, STAY HYDRATED (WITH WATER), TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS FROM THE
HEAT, AND ALWAYS LOOK BEFORE YOU LOCK YOUR VEHICLE. DON'T FORGET
ABOUT YOUR PETS AS WELL! IF THE GROUND IS TOO HOT FOR THE PALM OF
YOUR HAND, THEN IT IS TOO HOT FOR THEIR PAWS.
BATISTE
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
OUTFLOW DOMINATED STORMS ARE MOSTLY JUST WEST OF THE METRO
INTERSTATE TERMINALS. THE STRONGEST CLUSTER WEST OF HOBBY SHOULD
TRACK NEAR, OR JUST SOUTH, OF SGR IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AND HAVE
INCLUDED A SHORT DURATION TEMPO FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOWER VSBY IN
HEAVY DOWNPOURS. OTHERWISE, THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DWINDLE DOWN IN
AS WE LOSE HEATING AND THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION SHOULD SEE VFR
CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. FCST
REMAINS ONE OF PERSISTENCE AS WE'LL PROBABLY SEE A REPEAT OF ISO-
SCT ACTIVITY AGAIN LATER IN THE AFTERNOON FRIDAY FROM THE METRO
AREA SOUTHWARD. 47
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW AND LOW SEAS WILL
PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. DAILY CHANCES FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE WITH ACTIVITY INITIATING OVER THE GULF
WATERS DURING THE MORNING HOURS, THEN MOVING INLAND IN THE LATE
MORNING/AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS AND SEAS COULD BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN
AND AROUND ANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE GOING
INTO THE WEEKEND AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES.
BATISTE
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 98 76 97 74 / 0 0 10 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 99 79 97 79 / 20 10 40 10
GALVESTON (GLS) 91 83 90 82 / 20 10 40 30
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BATISTE
AVIATION...LUCHS
MARINE...BATISTE
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