024
FXUS64 KHGX 092325
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
625 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025
- MORE OF THE SAME FOR MOST OF US WITH WARM, HUMID CONDITIONS AND
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
INVERTED MID/UPPER TROUGH TO OUR EAST WILL MAKE SOME WESTWARD
PROGRESS THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. LOCALLY, THIS WILL ALLOW HEIGHTS TO
FALL AS THE DOMINATE RIDGING CENTERED TO OUR WEST PARTIALLY ERODES.
AS THIS OCCURS, LOOK FOR A VERY SLIGHT REDUCTION IN DAYTIME HIGHS
AND ALSO A SOMEWHAT LESS HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT FOR PRECIP DEVELOPMENT
FURTHER INLAND THAN WHAT WE'VE SEEN LATELY. IN GENERAL, WOULD
ANTICIPATE DIURNALLY DRIVEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON
PRETTY MUCH A DAILY BASIS...WITH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN OVERALL
COVERAGE AS WE SEE PEAKS/VALLEYS IN PW VALUES.
LATE THIS UPCOMING WEEK, GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
DEPICTING A STRENGTHENING MID/UPPER RIDGE EXPANDING INTO THE
REGION FROM THE EAST. A CORRESPONDING UPWARD BUMP IN TEMPS AND
LOWER RAIN CHANCES SHOULD THEN BE IN THE WORKS. 47
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
TSRA ACTIVITY THIS EVENING IS GENERALLY MOVING AWAY TO THE WEST FROM
OUR TAF SITES. WE WILL STILL NEED TO MONITOR THE RADAR CLOSELY IN
CASE AN ISOLATED TSRA DEVELOPS. BUT WE THINK THE TSRA THREAT FROM
00Z ONWARD IS PRETTY LOW. MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER, LOCALIZED IFR/MVFR CIGS AND VIS LIKELY ONCE
AGAIN, ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED SHRA/TSRA TODAY AND
IN AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN AM FOG IN RECENT DAYS. SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS
BEFORE PUSHING INLAND LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. TSRA
APPEARS ISOLATED. THEREFORE, ONLY PROB30S WERE USED TO INDICATE
THE TSRA THREAT FROM IAH TO THE COAST. WE DO HAVE VCSH SOUTH OF
I-10 TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER SHRA COVERAGE. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM THE E TO SE. BUT LOCALLY HIGHER
WINDS EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF TSRA.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
DAILY SEABREEZES WILL KICK WIND SPEEDS UP INTO THE 12-17KT RANGE
IN THE AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS NEAR THE COAST AND BAYS. OTHERWISE, LIGHT
ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL. COMPARED TO
THE LAST COUPLE DAYS, WE WILL PROBABLY SEE A SLIGHT UPTICK IN SCATTERED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE WATERS...PRIMARILY THE
LATE NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON VARIETY EACH DAY. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 74 96 74 94 / 20 10 20 30
HOUSTON (IAH) 77 95 78 95 / 30 30 20 40
GALVESTON (GLS) 82 91 82 90 / 50 50 40 40
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...SELF
MARINE...47
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