265
FXUS64 KHGX 112309
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
609 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
- DAILY CHANCES FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUES
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-10.
- TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS, BUT NOT TOO FAR OFF.
- INCREASING TEMPERATURE TREND POSSIBLE LATER IN THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
MORNING CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA TEMPORARILY
STABILIZED THINGS, BUT WITH AMPLE MOISTURE, SOME SUNSHINE, AND
WEAK SEABREEZE I SUSPECT WE'LL SEE SOME ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED ACTIVITY REEMERGE THIS AFTERNOON.
WITH GENERAL TROFFINESS/WEAKNESS IN PLACE ALOFT (SANDWICHED
BETWEEN RIDGING TO OUR WEST & EAST) FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WE
SHOULD HAVE CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SOME DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHRA/TSTMS
EACH DAY THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
RIDGE TO OUR EAST STRENGTHENS AND GRADUALLY EXPANDS INTO THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. INCREASED SUBSIDENCE WILL EVENTUALLY SUPPRESS
RAIN CHANCES AND ALLOW FOR A BUMP IN DAYTIME HIGHS. 47
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 609 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
REMNANT ISOLATED PRECIP SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH
THE LOSS OF HEATING. LOOK FOR SOME SCATTERED SHRA/TSTM REDEVELOPMENT
ALONG THE COAST IN THE 9-15Z TIMEFRAME. NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT
A CELL OR TWO MIGRATES AS FAR NORTH AS HOBBY, BUT MOST GUIDANCE SHOW
PRETTY LOW CHANCES NORTH OF THAT IN THE MORNING. BY AFTERNOON,
SCATTERED PRECIP WILL BE A POSSIBILITY FURTHER INLAND WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND THE SEABREEZE. ALSO MIGHT NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON ANY
REMNANT OUTFLOWS GENERATED IN THE PANHANDLE AREA TONIGHT AND IF THEY
MANAGE TO WORK THEIR WAY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TOWARDS OUR REGION. MOST
GUIDANCE POINTS OTHERWISE...BUT WILL BE TAKING A LOOK AT TRENDS.
OUTSIDE OF ANY STRONGER CELLS TUESDAY, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2025
NO REAL CHANGES. WIND FLOW WAS DISRUPTED BY MORNING CONVECTION,
BUT SHOULD CONTINUE SWINGING BACK AROUND TO THE EAST & SOUTHEAST
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. OTHERWISE, CONTINUED LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
SEAS. PRIMARY MARINE ISSUE SHOULD BE THE SCATTERED LATE NIGHT THRU
LATE MORNING SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE WATERS. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 76 96 75 96 / 20 20 10 20
HOUSTON (IAH) 78 95 78 95 / 10 30 10 30
GALVESTON (GLS) 82 92 83 92 / 20 20 20 30
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...47
MARINE...47
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