253
FXUS64 KHGX 071643
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1143 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CDT MON OCT 6 2025
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND
IN THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY
- DRY CONDITIONS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MAY LEAD TO INCREASED FIRE
WEATHER POTENTIAL. PLEASE EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN WORKING WITH
OPEN FLAMES/EQUIPMENT THAT CAN CAUSE SPARKS, ESPECIALLY IN DRY
SPOTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1041 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
OTHER THAN A FEW ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE
COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WE WILL REMAIN RAIN-FREE THROUGH
THIS UPCOMING WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVER TEXAS. THE RISING HEIGHTS AND DRY WEATHER WILL LEAD TO ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO
THE LOW TO MID-90S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MILD AND MUGGY OVERNIGHT
CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID-70S.
A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY USHERING IN SLIGHTLY COOLER, BUT MUCH DRIER
CONDITIONS. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES (HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S), BUT OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID-60S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA WITH SPOTS
IN THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND PINEY WOODS DOWN INTO THE UPPER 50S.
THE DRIER CONDITIONS BUT STILL WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL
LEAD TO AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO DROP INTO THE 20-30% RANGE
FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-10. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO LIMIT FIRE
DANGER SOMEWHAT, BUT THE LOW RH VALUES AND DRY VEGETATION MAY LEAD
TO FAST FIRE STARTS.
FOWLER
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
GENERALLY VFR, WITH SPOTS OF PATCHY FOG OUT AND ABOUT, TRANSIENTLY
IMPACTING TAF SITES BUT MOST SIGNIFICANTLY LBX. HAVE MENTIONS AT
THOSE SITES FOR THE FIRST 2-3 HOURS, BUT SHOULD BE VFR AREA-WIDE
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. WINDS FAIRLY LIGHT TODAY - GENERALLY
FOLLOWING THE SAME PATTERN OF THE LAST FEW DAYS, BUT PERHAPS MORE
VARIABLE SINCE WE'LL STRUGGLE TO RISE MUCH ABOVE 5 KNOTS EVEN IN
THE AFTERNOON. ISO SHRA/TSRA SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED AGAIN, BUT HOLD
OFF ON EVEN ANY PROB30S. IF ANYWHERE, WOULD ANTICIPATE LBX/SGR/HOU
WOULD HAVE SLIGHTLY BETTER ODDS THAN ELSEWHERE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1041 AM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
LIGHT EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN INCREASE IN THE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT, UP TO AROUND 15-25KT, AND PERSIST THROUGH
FRIDAY CAUSING SEAS TO BUILD TO 4-6FT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE
LIKELY NEEDED DURING THIS TIMEFRAME.
THE INCREASE IN ONSHORE WINDS AND HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL
LEAD TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER-LEVELS IN THE BAYS AND HIGHER
THAN NORMAL TIDES ALONG GULF-FACING BEACHES. GUIDANCE CURRENTLY
HAS HIGH TIDES UP TO AROUND 3.5-4.0FT ABOVE MEAN LOW LOW WATER
BEGINNING THURSDAY.
FOWLER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 70 93 68 90 / 10 10 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 73 93 73 90 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 77 88 76 87 / 0 10 10 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...FOWLER
AVIATION...LUCHS
MARINE...FOWLER
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