675
FXUS64 KHGX 111151
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
651 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
- RISK OF FIRES THIS WEEKEND WITH LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITIES IN
PLACE.
- NO RAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
BROKEN RECORD: DOMINANT MID-UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA ISN'T
GOING ANYWHERE ANYTIME SOON. SUBSIDENT AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO PLENTY
OF SUN AND ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS. ENE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
SWING BACK AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. THIS'LL ALLOW DEWPOINTS
TO TREND UPWARD SOME INTO NEXT WEEK. CORRESPONDING HUMIDITIES
WILL ALSO INCREASE...WHICH, OVERALL, MIGHT NOT BE SUCH A BAD THING
IN TERMS OF FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF LUCKY ENOUGH, SOUTHERN
PARTS OF THE REGION COULD SEE SOME LOWISH RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO
THE FCST FRIDAY...THOUGH WE'LL NEED TO WAIT FOR ANY MEANINGFUL
WETTING RAINFALL BEYOND THE SCOPE OF THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. 47
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 649 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE INLAND. FOR TERMINALS CLOSER TO THE COAST WINDS MAY
APPROACH 10 KNOTS OUT OF THE E TO SE THIS AFTERNOON.
ADAMS
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE 10-20 KNOT RANGE FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE NIGHT WILL FURTHER DIMINISH TODAY...EVENTUALLY TURNING
AROUND TO A LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION BY EVENING. WATER LEVELS
WILL BE RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL DUE IN PART TO THE MOON PHASE AND
EXISTING EASTERLY FETCH. A MORE PREVAILING ONSHORE WILL IS
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK. 47
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
CONSIDERING WE HAD SOME WILDFIRE STARTS ON FRIDAY, AND CONTINUED
DRY FUELS AND LOW RH'S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND...WE WILL
MAINTAIN THE ENHANCED FIRE WX MESSAGING. WIND SPEEDS WILL
THANKFULLY REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA, BUT IF
INITIATED, FIRES SHOULDN'T HAVE MUCH OF A PROBLEM STARTING ESP IN
THE DAYTIME HOURS. THE TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE IS FORECASTING
MODERATE TO HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR A GOOD PART OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
THIS WEEKEND. USE CAUTION WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING AND OBEY BURN
BANS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 90 61 91 61 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 89 66 89 66 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 84 74 85 76 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...47
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