009
FXUS64 KHGX 301831
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
131 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FRIDAY, ALBEIT WITH LIGHT WINDS.
WILDFIRES MAY STILL BEGIN EASILY, BUT MIGHT NOT SPREAD TOO FAST.
IT'S IMPORTANT TO CONTINUE TO OBEY LOCAL BURN BANS AND EXERCISE
GREAT CAUTION WITH ANY EQUIPMENT THAT COULD SPARK A NEW FIRE.
- NEXT FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION SATURDAY BRINGING SOME
SCATTERED SHOWER/STORM CHANCES DURING THE DAY.
- FAIRLY SEASONABLE WEATHER THEN PREVAILS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 131 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
WITH LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND LOW DEWPOINTS, WE SHOULD SEE A
NICE DROP IN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE 40S
FOR MOST INLAND LOCATIONS. IMMEDIATE COASTAL SITES WILL BOTTOM OUT
CLOSER TO 60F DUE TO BEING NEAR THE WARMER GULF WATER (WHICH TOO
HAS FALLEN A DECENT AMOUNT THE PAST FEW DAYS). ANOTHER REALLY
PLEASANT DAY IS IN STORE FRIDAY AS TEMPS REBOUND INTO THE 70S WITH
A GRADUAL RETURN OF ESE-SE WINDS.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL SAG INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY. MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY ISN'T ANYTHING TO WRITE HOME ABOUT, BUT THERE SHOULD
BE ENOUGH FORCING ALOFT TO PRODUCE SOME SCATTERED SHOWER AND
ISOLATED TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION. FORECAST INSTABILITY IS
A MIXED BAG BETWEEN MODEL GUIDANCE IN REGARDS STRONG-SEVERE TSTM
POTENTIAL, BUT MAJORITY OF MODELS AREN'T QUITE AS BULLISH AS GFS
HAS BEEN - THOUGH IT'S STILL WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON
TRENDS/CHANGES. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD PASS THOUGH BY MID SATURDAY
EVENING, BRINGING A RETURN OF DRIER WX FOR A GOOD PART OF THE NEXT
WEEK AS MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER MEXICO EXPANDS INTO TX. 47
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTH-
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 8-12KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL LOWER
TO BELOW 6KT THIS EVENING AND REMAIN LOW THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
FOWLER
MARINE
ISSUED AT 131 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED, THOUGH WE WILL NEED TO GO THROUGH
ANOTHER LOW TIDE CYCLE LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING FOR WATER
LEVELS TO BETTER RECOVER IN THE NORTHERN BAYS. WILL LET THE LOW
WATER ADVISORY EXPIRE AT 7PM. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT WILL
GRADUALLY VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SAG INTO
THE WATERS ON SATURDAY BRINGING SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THOUGH WE WILL SEE A GRADUAL WIND SHIFT THROUGH THE
DAY, SPEEDS PROBABLY WILL NOT SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE UNTIL WE GET
INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WHEN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE LIKELY. GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 47
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 131 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
THOUGH A DECREASE IN WINDS WILL SOMEWHAT MODERATE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS,
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 25-30% RANGE WILL STILL PRODUCE
ELEVATED CONDITIONS FOR FIRE STARTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON. WE WILL HAVE ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW RH'S IN PLACE
FRIDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH'S SHOULD BE CLOSE TO 30% FOR MOST
INLAND LOCATIONS AND 45% AT THE BEACHES. ADDITIONAL IMPROVEMENT
WILL BE SEEN ON SATURDAY AS SCATTERED SHOWER AND ISOLATED STORM
ACTIVITY IS FORECAST IN ADVANCE OF A SLOW MOVING FRONT THAT'LL BE
MOVING INTO THE REGION. THOUGH A DRIER AIRMASS IS EXPECTED IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WIND SPEEDS DO NOT
LOOK TO BE ELEVATED. CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION AND OBEY BURN
BANS. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 43 73 47 73 / 0 0 0 30
HOUSTON (IAH) 48 74 53 75 / 0 0 0 30
GALVESTON (GLS) 60 72 65 76 / 0 0 0 40
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ335.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...FOWLER
MARINE...47
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